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Nov 3, 2022 · The Plains, VA

6B Region Championship

Great Meadow (Non-State) Course · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2024 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

6a Reg B Boys 5000 Meter Run

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B

50 of 50 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −35.5 s course and conditions −13.1 s in-season fitness −22.4 sCourse constant 488.01 (488)Race constant 484.36 (484)

48 used anchors± 3.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 48 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 48, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Hayden Hauser · Colgan: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Manzi Siibo · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Patrick Lowry · Patriot: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Jaiden Lockhart · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Nziza Siibo · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Dylan Zimmerman · Colgan: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Hayden Goodman · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Carlos Garcia · Patriot: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Andrew Kight · Colgan: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Eric Aviles · Freedom (Leesburg): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Conner Utter · Patriot: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  12. 12 James Fillmore · Patriot: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Jackson Shearn · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  14. 14 James Yoho · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Nathanael McMahon · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Trent Daniels · Gainesville: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Jacob Casey · Patriot: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Samuel Daunt · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  19. 19 Henry Clark · Freedom (Leesburg): Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Steven Niese · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  21. 21 Brychen Averna · Osbourn Park: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  22. 23 James Byerle · Freedom (Leesburg): Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  23. 24 Owen Bauer · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  24. 25 Aidan Riggle · Colgan: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  25. 26 John Hargis · Forest Park: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  26. 27 Collin Keehan · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  27. 28 Owen Renquist · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 1 more
  28. 29 Connor Balcom · Patriot: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  29. 30 Gavin Kegler · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  30. 32 Jason Smith · Freedom (Leesburg): Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  31. 33 Aiden Murphy · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  32. 34 Jacob Hakizimana · Colgan: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  33. 35 Carson Rico · Freedom (Leesburg): Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  34. 36 Leo Mantoan · C.D. Hylton: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · Cpt Doug Richardson King Of The Hill Challenge (Sep 10)
  35. 37 Matthew Johannes · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  36. 38 Kaiden Brewer · Patriot: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  37. 39 Landon Mills · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  38. 40 Jack Tetreault · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  39. 41 Ethan Munoz · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  40. 42 Landen Allen · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  41. 43 Connor Finegan · Colgan: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  42. 44 Amir Edwards · Colgan: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  43. 45 Cameron Sidebotham · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  44. 46 Joseph Moore · Forest Park: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  45. 47 Daniel Diaczyszyn · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  46. 48 Matthew Kamon · Freedom (Leesburg): Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  47. 49 Xavier Ogo · Forest Park: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15)
  48. 50 Hayden Robinette · Forest Park: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Hood College HS Invitational (Sep 3)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 50 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Hayden HauserColgan · SRFinish 15:29.015:29.015:44.1175.3
2Manzi SiiboBattlefield · SRFinish 15:36.015:36.015:51.3172.9
3Patrick LowryPatriot · SRFinish 15:48.015:48.016:03.5168.8
4Jaiden LockhartWoodbridge · SRFinish 15:59.015:59.016:14.6165.1
5Nziza SiiboBattlefield · SOFinish 16:01.016:01.016:16.7164.4
6Dylan ZimmermanColgan · JRFinish 16:10.016:10.016:25.8161.4
7Hayden GoodmanWoodbridge · SOFinish 16:12.016:12.016:27.8160.7
8Carlos GarciaPatriot · JRFinish 16:25.016:25.016:41.1156.3
9Andrew KightColgan · JRFinish 16:25.016:25.016:41.1156.3
10Eric AvilesFreedom (Leesburg) · SRFinish 16:27.016:27.016:43.1155.6
11Conner UtterPatriot · SRFinish 16:28.016:28.016:44.1155.3
12James FillmorePatriot · SRFinish 16:32.016:32.016:48.2153.9
13Jackson ShearnBattlefield · SRFinish 16:36.016:36.016:52.2152.6
14James YohoWoodbridge · SRFinish 16:44.016:44.017:00.4149.9
15Nathanael McMahonWoodbridge · JRFinish 16:45.016:45.017:01.4149.5
16Trent DanielsGainesville · FRFinish 16:45.016:45.017:01.4149.5
17Jacob CaseyPatriot · SRFinish 16:46.016:46.017:02.4149.2
18Samuel DauntBattlefield · JRFinish 16:47.016:47.017:03.4148.8
19Henry ClarkFreedom (Leesburg) · JRFinish 16:51.016:51.017:07.5147.5
20Steven NieseColonial Forge · SOFinish 16:56.016:56.017:12.6145.8
21Brychen AvernaOsbourn Park · SOFinish 17:03.017:03.017:19.7143.4
22Kenny Giron-GarciaOsbourn · JRFinish 17:08.017:08.017:24.8141.7
23James ByerleFreedom (Leesburg) · JRFinish 17:11.017:11.017:27.8140.7
24Owen BauerBattlefield · FRFinish 17:11.017:11.017:27.8140.7
25Aidan RiggleColgan · SRFinish 17:12.017:12.017:28.8140.4
26John HargisForest Park · SRFinish 17:15.017:15.017:31.9139.3
27Collin KeehanWoodbridge · SOFinish 17:15.017:15.017:31.9139.3
28Owen RenquistWoodbridge · SOFinish 17:21.017:21.017:38.0137.3
29Connor BalcomPatriot · SRFinish 17:21.017:21.017:38.0137.3
30Gavin KeglerWoodbridge · SRFinish 17:22.017:22.017:39.0137.0
31Greg BordenFreedom (Leesburg) · SOFinish 17:25.017:25.017:42.0136.0
32Jason SmithFreedom (Leesburg) · JRFinish 17:30.017:30.017:47.1134.3
33Aiden MurphyBattlefield · JRFinish 17:32.017:32.017:49.2133.6
34Jacob HakizimanaColgan · JRFinish 17:35.017:35.017:52.2132.6
35Carson RicoFreedom (Leesburg) · SOFinish 17:36.017:36.017:53.2132.2
36Leo MantoanC.D. Hylton · SRFinish 17:45.017:45.018:02.4129.2
37Matthew JohannesColonial Forge · JRFinish 17:51.017:51.018:08.5127.2
38Kaiden BrewerPatriot · SOFinish 17:51.017:51.018:08.5127.2
39Landon MillsColonial Forge · JRFinish 17:51.017:51.018:08.5127.2
40Jack TetreaultColonial Forge · SOFinish 17:55.017:55.018:12.5125.8
41Ethan MunozColonial Forge · SOFinish 17:57.017:57.018:14.6125.1
42Landen AllenBattlefield · FRFinish 17:58.017:58.018:15.6124.8
43Connor FineganColgan · SOFinish 18:00.018:00.018:17.6124.1
44Amir EdwardsColgan · JRFinish 18:00.018:00.018:17.6124.1
45Cameron SidebothamColonial Forge · JRFinish 18:14.018:14.018:31.8119.4
46Joseph MooreForest Park · SRFinish 18:21.018:21.018:38.9117.0
47Daniel DiaczyszynColonial Forge · SRFinish 18:31.018:31.018:49.1113.6
48Matthew KamonFreedom (Leesburg) · SOFinish 18:43.018:43.019:01.3109.5
49Xavier OgoForest Park · SRFinish 18:52.018:52.019:10.5106.5
50Hayden RobinetteForest Park · JRFinish 21:32.021:32.021:53.152.3

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Class 6 Reg B Girls 5000 Meter Run

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B

53 of 53 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −35.6 s course and conditions −12.4 s in-season fitness −23.2 sCourse constant 488.53 (489)Race constant 485.78 (486)

49 used anchors± 3.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 49 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 49, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Elizabeth Gregory · Forest Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Kate Loescher · Colonial Forge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Colleen Kelly · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Caroline Tribett · Gainesville: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Hannah Weber · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Jillian Byerle · Freedom (Leesburg): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Rena Johnson · Patriot: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Ava Okun · Forest Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Grace Sheldon · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Lisa De Groot · Osbourn Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  11. 11 Kennedy Korzen · Forest Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Liana Eberly · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Kayleigh Burke · Freedom (Leesburg): Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Geneva Bellows · Osbourn Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  15. 15 Lucy Arnold · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Alyss Valerio · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  17. 17 Mary Ella Glauber · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Skye Hackley · Osbourn Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  19. 19 Emma O'Connell · Osbourn Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  20. 20 Madison Somerville · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Sidney Nolan · Patriot: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Madeline Johnson · Forest Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Haley Donnelly · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Sidney Yang · Osbourn Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  25. 25 Grace Gregory · Forest Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Camila Giudici · Colgan: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  27. 27 Camila Weber · Patriot: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Jill Crunkilton · Woodbridge: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Kenzie Harris · Battlefield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  30. 30 Aiysha Aslam · Osbourn Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  31. 31 Marleigh Wilson · Woodbridge: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  32. 33 Lily French · Osbourn Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  33. 34 Nadia Wilt · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  34. 35 Rania Carter · Potomac: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27)
  35. 36 Ella Jensen · Forest Park: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · and 1 more
  36. 37 Zoe Patterson · Patriot: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  37. 38 Scarlett Smith · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  38. 39 Emily Hicks · Colonial Forge: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  39. 40 Neve Kelly · Woodbridge: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  40. 41 Angela Payne · Colgan: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  41. 42 Erin Brennan · Colgan: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  42. 43 Paige Brown · Colgan: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  43. 45 Vayda Rich · Woodbridge: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  44. 46 Emily Toso · Battlefield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  45. 47 Anna Roberts · Woodbridge: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  46. 48 Natalie Masters · Colgan: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  47. 49 Kira Baker · Patriot: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  48. 52 Brooklyn George · Woodbridge: Cardinal District XC Championships (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  49. 53 Addy Hoopes · Patriot: Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 10)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 53 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Elizabeth GregoryForest Park · JRFinish 18:27.018:27.018:44.2117.7
2Kate LoescherColonial Forge · SOFinish 18:35.018:35.018:52.3115.0
3Colleen KellyBattlefield · JRFinish 18:45.018:45.019:02.5111.6
4Caroline TribettGainesville · SOFinish 18:49.018:49.019:06.5110.3
5Hannah WeberBattlefield · SRFinish 18:52.018:52.019:09.6109.3
6Jillian ByerleFreedom (Leesburg) · JRFinish 19:21.019:21.019:39.099.5
7Rena JohnsonPatriot · JRFinish 19:23.019:23.019:41.198.8
8Ava OkunForest Park · SRFinish 19:37.019:37.019:55.394.0
9Grace SheldonBattlefield · JRFinish 19:56.019:56.020:14.687.6
10Lisa De GrootOsbourn Park · SRFinish 20:00.020:00.020:18.686.3
11Kennedy KorzenForest Park · SRFinish 20:09.020:09.020:27.883.2
12Liana EberlyWoodbridge · FRFinish 20:13.020:13.020:31.881.9
13Kayleigh BurkeFreedom (Leesburg) · SRFinish 20:19.020:19.020:37.979.8
14Geneva BellowsOsbourn Park · SRFinish 20:20.020:20.020:38.979.5
15Lucy ArnoldBattlefield · FRFinish 20:20.020:20.020:38.979.5
16Alyss ValerioColonial Forge · SRFinish 20:23.020:23.020:42.078.5
17Mary Ella GlauberColonial Forge · JRFinish 20:37.020:37.020:56.273.7
18Skye HackleyOsbourn Park · JRFinish 20:43.020:43.021:02.371.7
19Emma O'ConnellOsbourn Park · SOFinish 20:45.020:45.021:04.371.0
20Madison SomervilleColonial Forge · SOFinish 20:46.020:46.021:05.470.7
21Sidney NolanPatriot · JRFinish 20:46.020:46.021:05.470.7
22Madeline JohnsonForest Park · SOFinish 20:57.020:57.021:16.567.0
23Haley DonnellyBattlefield · SOFinish 21:01.021:01.021:20.665.6
24Sidney YangOsbourn Park · JRFinish 21:05.021:05.021:24.664.2
25Grace GregoryForest Park · FRFinish 21:09.021:09.021:28.762.9
26Camila GiudiciColgan · JRFinish 21:10.021:10.021:29.762.6
27Camila WeberPatriot · FRFinish 21:32.021:32.021:52.155.1
28Jill CrunkiltonWoodbridge · SRFinish 21:32.021:32.021:52.155.1
29Kenzie HarrisBattlefield · SOFinish 21:35.021:35.021:55.154.1
30Aiysha AslamOsbourn Park · JRFinish 21:36.021:36.021:56.153.8
31Marleigh WilsonWoodbridge · FRFinish 21:48.021:48.022:08.349.7
32Marissa OgoForest Park · SOFinish 21:49.021:49.022:09.349.4
33Lily FrenchOsbourn Park · FRFinish 21:52.021:52.022:12.448.3
34Nadia WiltColonial Forge · FRFinish 21:55.021:55.022:15.447.3
35Rania CarterPotomac · SOFinish 21:59.021:59.022:19.546.0
36Ella JensenForest Park · SOFinish 22:01.022:01.022:21.545.3
37Zoe PattersonPatriot · FRFinish 22:01.022:01.022:21.545.3
38Scarlett SmithColonial Forge · SOFinish 22:10.022:10.022:30.742.2
39Emily HicksColonial Forge · SOFinish 22:19.022:19.022:39.839.2
40Neve KellyWoodbridge · JRFinish 22:28.022:28.022:48.936.2
41Angela PayneColgan · SRFinish 22:36.022:36.022:57.133.4
42Erin BrennanColgan · SRFinish 22:44.022:44.023:05.230.7
43Paige BrownColgan · SRFinish 23:17.023:17.023:38.719.6
44Alyssa GalarzaColgan · SOFinish 23:27.023:27.023:48.916.2
45Vayda RichWoodbridge · FRFinish 23:29.023:29.023:50.915.5
46Emily TosoBattlefield · JRFinish 23:38.023:38.024:00.012.5
47Anna RobertsWoodbridge · FRFinish 23:44.023:44.024:06.110.4
48Natalie MastersColgan · SOFinish 23:53.023:53.024:15.37.4
49Kira BakerPatriot · SRFinish 24:09.024:09.024:31.52.0
50Mallory GumtowColgan · SOFinish 24:18.024:18.024:40.6—
Show all 53 results (3 more)Showing all 53 results · hide rows 51–53
Girls results, rows 51 to 53 of 53
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Daniella AnsahPatriot · SOFinish 25:18.025:18.025:41.6—
52Brooklyn GeorgeWoodbridge · FRFinish 25:30.025:30.025:53.8—
53Addy HoopesPatriot · FRFinish 26:41.026:41.027:05.9—

6B Region Championship, Nov 3, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.