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Sep 10, 2022 · Abington, PA

Abington XC Invitational

Abington HS XC 3.1 · Historical 2022 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

E

83 of 84 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +61.6 s course and conditions +23.2 s in-season fitness +38.4 sCourse constant 502.03 (502)Race constant 510.80 (511)

8 used anchorsUnavailable adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 8 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 8, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 4 Sophia Schell · North Penn 01: Salesianum Invitational (Sep 24)
  2. 12 Megha Iyer · Great Valley 01: Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24)
  3. 13 Natalie Dill · Great Valley 01: Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24)
  4. 24 Aimee Dill · Great Valley 01: Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24)
  5. 29 Mikayla Potts · North Penn 01: Salesianum Invitational (Sep 24)
  6. 30 Gia Patel · Great Valley 01: Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24)
  7. 35 Emily Donovan · Great Valley 01: Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24)
  8. 62 Clara Burnell · North Penn 01: Salesianum Invitational (Sep 24)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 84 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Ella WoehlckeMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · JRFinish 18:43.018:43.017:59.6132.6
2Alli DeLisiPenn Charter · SOFinish 19:14.019:14.018:29.4122.7
3Ruby SchwelmPenncrest 01 · SOFinish 19:32.019:32.018:46.7116.9
4Sophia SchellNorth Penn 01 · JRFinish 21:05.021:05.020:16.187.1
5Lexi PattersonSpringfield (Delco) 01 · SOFinish 21:34.021:34.020:44.077.8
6Catherine KoranMethacton 01 · SRFinish 21:37.021:37.020:46.976.8
7Molly O'NeillGwynedd-Mercy Academy 01 · FRFinish 21:44.021:44.020:53.674.6
8Maggie MurphyMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SRFinish 21:50.021:50.020:59.472.7
9Ella SleutarisPenncrest 01 · SRFinish 22:01.022:01.021:09.969.2
10Hannah PuckettPenncrest 01 · SRFinish 22:15.022:15.021:23.464.7
11Sarah HockGwynedd-Mercy Academy 01 · FRFinish 22:17.022:17.021:25.364.0
12Megha IyerGreat Valley 01 · SRFinish 22:19.022:19.021:27.263.4
13Natalie DillGreat Valley 01 · SOFinish 22:20.022:20.021:28.263.1
14Molly ThomasMethacton 01 · JRFinish 22:28.022:28.021:35.960.5
15Sophia KurtisSpringfield (Delco) 01 · SOFinish 22:29.022:29.021:36.860.2
16Sara BingCouncil Rock North 01 · SOFinish 22:30.022:30.021:37.859.9
17Ona GrandeyCheltenham 01 · FRFinish 22:31.022:31.021:38.859.5
18Sarah EmchSpringfield (Delco) 01 · SOFinish 22:31.022:31.021:38.859.5
19Gwen ChorneyPenncrest 01 · JRFinish 22:32.022:32.021:39.759.2
20Caitlin CrumlishPenncrest 01 · FRFinish 22:41.022:41.021:48.456.3
21Juliana TrigoneMethacton 01 · SOFinish 22:42.022:42.021:49.356.0
22Evanthia GrecoPenncrest 01 · SRFinish 22:44.022:44.021:51.355.4
23Kathleen TarloNorth Penn 01 · SRFinish 22:49.022:49.021:56.153.8
24Aimee DillGreat Valley 01 · SOFinish 22:51.022:51.021:58.053.1
25Claire PfanstielCouncil Rock North 01 · SRFinish 23:03.023:03.022:09.549.3
26Mila JovanovicWissahickon 01 · SRFinish 23:04.023:04.022:10.549.0
27Gianna MarsAbington · SRFinish 23:14.023:14.022:20.145.8
28Nora LoftusAbington · JRFinish 23:15.023:15.022:21.145.4
29Mikayla PottsNorth Penn 01 · SOFinish 23:16.023:16.022:22.045.1
30Gia PatelGreat Valley 01 · SOFinish 23:17.023:17.022:23.044.8
31Ella MontaganoAbington · SRFinish 23:17.023:17.022:23.044.8
32Lahidjia DominoSpringfield (Delco) 01 · JRFinish 23:19.023:19.022:24.944.2
33Clare HughesCouncil Rock North 01 · SRFinish 23:20.023:20.022:25.943.8
34Fiona DoughertyAbington · SOFinish 23:21.023:21.022:26.843.5
35Emily DonovanGreat Valley 01 · SRFinish 23:23.023:23.022:28.842.9
36Molly BrennanMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SRFinish 23:25.023:25.022:30.742.2
37Anastacia MilanaSpringfield (Delco) 01 · SOFinish 23:29.023:29.022:34.541.0
38Haley BushkoNorth Penn 01 · FRFinish 23:31.023:31.022:36.540.3
39Shaely JamesAbington · JRFinish 23:36.023:36.022:41.338.7
40Caroline CherekosMethacton 01 · SRFinish 23:40.023:40.022:45.137.4
41Jordin WalkerWissahickon 01 · FRFinish 23:42.023:42.022:47.036.8
42Abigail KnightCouncil Rock North 01 · JRFinish 23:43.023:43.022:48.036.5
43Camille RizzoCouncil Rock North 01 · SOFinish 23:48.023:48.022:52.834.9
44Delaney RainesCheltenham 01 · SOFinish 23:49.023:49.022:53.834.5
45Keeley AikenPenncrest 01 · JRFinish 23:53.023:53.022:57.633.3
46Emily YehMethacton 01 · SOFinish 24:06.024:06.023:10.129.1
47Natalia ModzelewskiPenn Charter · FRFinish 24:06.024:06.023:10.129.1
48Veronica LentzPenn Charter · SRFinish 24:18.024:18.023:21.625.3
49Anne KitchingMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SRFinish 24:20.024:20.023:23.624.6
50Tara BogutWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 24:22.024:22.023:25.524.0
Show all 84 results (34 more)Showing all 84 results · hide rows 51–84
Girls results, rows 51 to 84 of 84
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Rosnelly SanchezReading 03 · SRFinish 24:23.024:23.023:26.423.7
52Mary Kate SeiberlichMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · JRFinish 24:25.024:25.023:28.423.0
53Catherine MacDougallCheltenham 01 · FRFinish 24:27.024:27.023:30.322.4
54Lila DayNorristown 01 · JRFinish 24:35.024:35.023:38.019.8
55Julia DiedelNorth Penn 01 · JRFinish 24:41.024:41.023:43.717.9
56Claire LynchSpringfield (Delco) 01 · JRFinish 24:43.024:43.023:45.717.2
57Marina FerrySpringfield (Delco) 01 · SOFinish 24:43.024:43.023:45.717.2
58Cora HislerGwynedd-Mercy Academy 01 · SOFinish 24:47.024:47.023:49.516.0
59Rose MazzeoGwynedd-Mercy Academy 01 · SRFinish 25:11.025:11.024:12.68.3
60Claire Van MaterGwynedd-Mercy Academy 01 · SOFinish 25:16.025:16.024:17.46.7
61Michaela PolandPenn Charter · FRFinish 25:20.025:20.024:21.25.4
62Clara BurnellNorth Penn 01 · SRFinish 25:20.025:20.024:21.25.4
63Lily McMullinMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · FRFinish 25:32.025:32.024:32.81.5
64Annabelle CaldwellMethacton 01 · SOFinish 25:35.025:35.024:35.70.6
65Chloe HerronWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 25:44.025:44.024:44.3—
66Scarlett St. ClairGwynedd-Mercy Academy 01 · SRFinish 25:49.025:49.024:49.1—
67Aisling McDermottCouncil Rock North 01 · FRFinish 25:51.025:51.024:51.0—
68Nicole RobertsonAbington · FRFinish 26:06.026:06.025:05.5—
69Corina ElstonCheltenham 01 · SRFinish 26:14.026:14.025:13.1—
70Elizabeth SteinerMethacton 01 · SOFinish 26:21.026:21.025:19.9—
71Kateri OwensCheltenham 01 · JRFinish 26:30.026:30.025:28.5—
72Louella WhitakerPenn Charter · SOFinish 26:32.026:32.025:30.5—
73Emma EbyWissahickon 01 · SRFinish 26:34.026:34.025:32.4—
74Meghan HolmesMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SOFinish 26:34.026:34.025:32.4—
75Eden PanchisonCouncil Rock North 01 · FRFinish 27:38.027:38.026:33.9—
76Sanaa PowerPlymouth Whitemarsh 01 · JRFinish 28:17.028:17.027:11.4—
77Madden MurrayAbington · JRFinish 30:25.030:25.029:14.4—
78Kaly GonzalezReading 03 · SOFinish 30:36.030:36.029:25.0—
79Julia StanczakPlymouth Whitemarsh 01 · JRFinish 31:17.031:17.030:04.4—
80Molly MoserPlymouth Whitemarsh 01 · JRFinish 32:54.032:54.031:37.7—
81Megan WertPlymouth Whitemarsh 01 · SRFinish 34:29.034:29.033:09.0—
82Franchestca JimenezReading 03 · SRFinish 34:30.034:30.033:10.0—
83Yuliana GarciaReading 03 · SRFinish 35:18.035:18.033:56.1—
84Caitlin DoughertyPlymouth Whitemarsh 01 · SRFinish 45:44.045:44.0UnavailableUnavailable

1 row: time outside the rated range.

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

JV Girls 5000 Meter Run

E

52 of 53 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +68.7 s course and conditions +30.2 s in-season fitness +38.6 sCourse constant 506.84 (507)Race constant 517.30 (517)

Unavailable used anchorsUnavailable adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 53 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kira LogiovineNorth Penn 01 · JRFinish 22:25.022:25.021:25.763.9
2Ava WarnerNorth Penn 01 · JRFinish 22:26.022:26.021:26.663.6
3Reese BarronGreat Valley 01 · SRFinish 23:36.023:36.022:33.641.3
4Ella HowardGreat Valley 01 · SRFinish 24:19.024:19.023:14.727.6
5Marissa KaminPenncrest 01 · SOFinish 24:49.024:49.023:43.318.0
6Reese KraminGreat Valley 01 · SOFinish 24:59.024:59.023:52.914.8
7Ashlyn CoatesGreat Valley 01 · SRFinish 25:04.025:04.023:57.713.2
8Grace DalyMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SOFinish 25:08.025:08.024:01.512.0
9Sarah KeslingPenncrest 01 · FRFinish 25:09.025:09.024:02.511.6
10Emily BierwirthPenn Charter · FRFinish 25:23.025:23.024:15.87.2
11Zoe KowalMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SRFinish 25:38.025:38.024:30.22.4
12Audrey AbernathyPenn Charter · FRFinish 25:43.025:43.024:35.00.8
13Jijee DhineshNorth Penn 01 · SRFinish 25:48.025:48.024:39.7—
14Olivia ThomasPenn Charter · FRFinish 25:53.025:53.024:44.5—
15Julia KleinMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · JRFinish 26:10.026:10.025:00.8—
16Seneca JensenGreat Valley 01 · SRFinish 26:34.026:34.025:23.7—
17Ciara FallMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SRFinish 26:38.026:38.025:27.5—
18Morgan SmithMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SOFinish 26:51.026:51.025:40.0—
19Hannah HardingPenncrest 01 · JRFinish 27:03.027:03.025:51.4—
20Margaret MeadMethacton 01 · SOFinish 27:12.027:12.026:00.0—
21Anna WiemanPenncrest 01 · FRFinish 27:12.027:12.026:00.0—
22Kyla ChanMethacton 01 · SRFinish 27:13.027:13.026:01.0—
23Georgia BartoloMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SOFinish 27:14.027:14.026:01.9—
24Sara ZwierzchowskiMethacton 01 · FRFinish 27:25.027:25.026:12.5—
25Gabi SmithCouncil Rock North 01 · SOFinish 27:59.027:59.026:45.0—
26Bianca NaceMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SRFinish 28:08.028:08.026:53.6—
27Alima ShoranovaWissahickon 01 · SRFinish 28:11.028:11.026:56.4—
28Saachi KamathCouncil Rock North 01 · JRFinish 28:29.028:29.027:13.6—
29Sienna LofferPenn Charter · FRFinish 28:40.028:40.027:24.1—
30Riley SchlosserCouncil Rock North 01 · JRFinish 28:44.028:44.027:28.0—
31Shaalin Gamble-SarfoPenncrest 01 · SOFinish 28:53.028:53.027:36.6—
32My-Lan PhamMethacton 01 · SOFinish 29:07.029:07.027:50.0—
33Reiley WalshGwynedd-Mercy Academy 01 · SRFinish 29:11.029:11.027:53.8—
34Gemma PetruzzelliMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · FRFinish 29:14.029:14.027:56.6—
35Molly McCartneyGwynedd-Mercy Academy 01 · JRFinish 29:22.029:22.028:04.3—
36Molly KeeganMethacton 01 · JRFinish 29:33.029:33.028:14.8—
37Georgie FordMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · JRFinish 30:18.030:18.028:57.8—
38Constance HuberMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · JRFinish 30:44.030:44.029:22.7—
39Clare KellyWissahickon 01 · SRFinish 31:19.031:19.029:56.1—
40Juliana BorgesWissahickon 01 · SOFinish 31:26.031:26.030:02.8—
41Giuliana DursoMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SOFinish 31:42.031:42.030:18.1—
42Caitlin CiprianoMethacton 01 · FRFinish 32:12.032:12.030:46.8—
43Charlotte McDaidMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SOFinish 32:17.032:17.030:51.6—
44Anya BournePenn Charter · FRFinish 32:18.032:18.030:52.5—
45Jess StaasMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SOFinish 32:32.032:32.031:05.9—
46Olivia SotiropoulosPenncrest 01 · SRFinish 32:40.032:40.031:13.6—
47Kennedy CrossMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · SOFinish 32:59.032:59.031:31.7—
48Elaine WongCouncil Rock North 01 · JRFinish 33:10.033:10.031:42.2—
49Lindsay HoranCouncil Rock North 01 · FRFinish 33:11.033:11.031:43.2—
50Sophia SettelenMount Saint Joseph Academy 01 · FRFinish 33:25.033:25.031:56.6—
Show all 53 results (3 more)Showing all 53 results · hide rows 51–53
Girls results, rows 51 to 53 of 53
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Eleanor RothgebMethacton 01 · FRFinish 33:44.033:44.032:14.7—
52Julia RussoPenncrest 01 · FRFinish 39:02.039:02.037:18.7—
53Kate DurkinCouncil Rock North 01 · FRFinish 66:22.066:22.0UnavailableUnavailable

1 row: time outside the rated range.

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not rated. The finish time is outside the range we rate (12:00–45:00 for a 5K), so it has no adjustment or rating.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.