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Sep 7, 2024 · Abington, PA

abington xc invitational 2024

Abington HS XC 3.1 · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2023 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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D

57 of 57 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +38.0 s course and conditions −0.8 s in-season fitness +38.8 sCourse constant 489.56 (490)Race constant 495.82 (496)

15 used anchors± 12.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 15 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 15, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 3 Ralph Antonucci · Wissahickon 01: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  2. 10 Joshua Esters · Penn Wood 01: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  3. 19 Jishnu Dass · Wissahickon 01: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  4. 20 John Esteris · Penn Wood 01: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  5. 21 Brody Hebert · Gettysburg Area 03: Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2)
  6. 28 Walter Vandegrift · Wissahickon 01: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  7. 29 Alex Winkowski · Wissahickon 01: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  8. 31 Josiah Feng · Wissahickon 01: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  9. 39 Stanley Jones · Penn Wood 01: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  10. 40 Patrick Fornwalt · Cardinal O'Hara 12: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  11. 45 Justin O'Shea · Cardinal O'Hara 12: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  12. 48 John Paul Gallagher · Cardinal O'Hara 12: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  13. 51 Stephen Daly · Cardinal O'Hara 12: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  14. 54 Shane Spellacy · Cardinal O'Hara 12: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
  15. 56 Justice Kapurelos · Cardinal O'Hara 12: Salesianum Invitational (Oct 5)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 57 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1T.J. ZwallPenn Charter · SRFinish 15:59.615:59.615:41.3174.9
2Nate JohnsonPenn Charter · SRFinish 16:00.016:00.015:41.7174.8
3Ralph AntonucciWissahickon 01 · SRFinish 16:27.416:27.416:08.7165.8
4Matthew DunnPenn Charter · SOFinish 16:31.816:31.816:13.0164.4
5Nico OshunrinadeGettysburg Area 03 · JRFinish 16:49.716:49.716:30.5158.5
6Owen ClapsadleGettysburg Area 03 · SRFinish 16:57.116:57.116:37.7156.1
7Charles ReithMethacton 01 · SRFinish 17:00.517:00.516:41.1155.0
8Tyler RifkinMethacton 01 · SRFinish 17:08.217:08.216:48.6152.5
9Curtis AlexanderMethacton 01 · SRFinish 17:15.417:15.416:55.7150.1
10Joshua EstersPenn Wood 01 · JRFinish 17:17.917:17.916:58.2149.3
11Luke BreighnerGettysburg Area 03 · SRFinish 17:20.917:20.917:01.1148.3
12Benjamin FreeseMethacton 01 · SRFinish 17:26.217:26.217:06.3146.6
13Chase O'BrienAbington · JRFinish 17:30.517:30.517:10.5145.2
14Paul KennedyGettysburg Area 03 · JRFinish 17:32.717:32.717:12.7144.5
15William MorrisGettysburg Area 03 · JRFinish 17:37.217:37.217:17.1143.0
16Colin O'DonnellMethacton 01 · JRFinish 17:37.417:37.417:17.3142.9
17Peyton BurnettPenn Charter · JRFinish 17:40.717:40.717:20.6141.8
18Ben BergerPenn Charter · JRFinish 17:43.817:43.817:23.6140.8
19Jishnu DassWissahickon 01 · SRFinish 17:46.317:46.317:26.0140.0
20John EsterisPenn Wood 01 · SOFinish 17:51.817:51.817:31.4138.2
21Brody HebertGettysburg Area 03 · SOFinish 17:56.917:56.917:36.5136.5
22Kai BarnesMethacton 01 · JRFinish 18:10.818:10.817:50.0132.0
23Jason NagleMethacton 01 · SOFinish 18:11.318:11.317:50.6131.8
24James StewartAbington · SRFinish 18:24.418:24.418:03.4127.6
25Jackson FeolaAbington · JRFinish 18:34.318:34.318:13.1124.3
26Tawfeeq FountainPenn Wood 01 · JRFinish 18:36.518:36.518:15.3123.6
27Nicholas BreighnerGettysburg Area 03 · JRFinish 18:42.118:42.118:20.8121.8
28Walter VandegriftWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 18:43.218:43.218:21.9121.4
29Alex WinkowskiWissahickon 01 · SRFinish 18:44.518:44.518:23.1121.0
30Nolan FloodAbington · SOFinish 18:46.718:46.718:25.3120.3
31Josiah FengWissahickon 01 · SOFinish 18:58.018:58.018:36.4116.6
32Kevin ChenNortheast · SOFinish 19:03.019:03.018:41.3114.9
33Sam TatkoWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 19:08.919:08.918:47.1113.0
34Leo KelleyPenn Charter · FRFinish 19:09.619:09.618:47.8112.8
35Tyler SeamanWissahickon · JRFinish 19:20.219:20.218:58.1109.3
36Lucas AptowiczEngineering & Science 12 · SOFinish 19:31.419:31.419:09.1105.7
37Sean WadeAbington · SRFinish 19:45.919:45.919:23.4100.9
38Tyler RamsayAbington · FRFinish 20:22.920:22.919:59.688.8
39Stanley JonesPenn Wood 01 · SOFinish 20:24.920:24.920:01.688.2
40Patrick FornwaltCardinal O'Hara 12 · SOFinish 20:27.320:27.320:04.087.4
41Enrix Paiz LutinNortheast · SRFinish 20:28.820:28.820:05.586.9
42Masiah MakowkaReading 03 · SRFinish 20:29.720:29.720:06.386.6
43Quadir ElderPenn Wood 01 · SOFinish 21:09.121:09.120:45.073.7
44Jackie ChenNortheast · SRFinish 21:11.521:11.520:47.372.9
45Justin O'SheaCardinal O'Hara 12 · SOFinish 21:15.721:15.720:51.571.5
46Benjamin SunNortheast · JRFinish 21:28.921:28.921:04.567.2
47Daniel StewartChester 01 · JRFinish 21:37.821:37.821:13.164.3
48John Paul GallagherCardinal O'Hara 12 · FRFinish 21:45.421:45.421:20.661.8
49Edison ChenNortheast · SRFinish 22:15.822:15.821:50.451.9
50Khamaal AkinwandeEngineering & Science 12 · SRFinish 22:43.622:43.622:17.742.8
Show all 57 results (7 more)Showing all 57 results · hide rows 51–57
Boys results, rows 51 to 57 of 57
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Stephen DalyCardinal O'Hara 12 · SOFinish 22:47.822:47.822:21.841.4
52Elijah BaxterChester 01 · SRFinish 23:07.323:07.322:41.035.0
53Danyel JarvisReading 03 · JRFinish 23:10.623:10.622:44.134.0
54Shane SpellacyCardinal O'Hara 12 · FRFinish 24:28.924:28.924:01.08.4
55Jonathan GuijanoChester 01 · JRFinish 26:11.526:11.525:41.6—
56Justice KapurelosCardinal O'Hara 12 · SOFinish 27:36.127:36.127:04.6—
57Marquan HamptonChester 01 · SRFinish 27:59.127:59.127:27.2—

BOYS · JV · 5,000 M

JV Boys 5000 Meter Run

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D

50 of 50 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +45.1 s course and conditions +6.0 s in-season fitness +39.0 sCourse constant 491.94 (492)Race constant 499.17 (499)

Unavailable used anchors± 23.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 50 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Raymond PelletierWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 18:34.418:34.418:07.1126.3
2Easton DeBlaayMethacton 01 · FRFinish 18:39.518:39.518:12.0124.7
3Thomas HazletonMethacton 01 · JRFinish 18:57.918:57.918:30.0118.7
4Neven PlowerMethacton 01 · SRFinish 18:58.718:58.718:30.8118.4
5Marshall BardGettysburg Area 03 · SRFinish 19:14.819:14.818:46.4113.2
6Jack PickelWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 19:22.919:22.918:54.3110.6
7Enzo GobinWissahickon · SOFinish 19:22.919:22.918:54.4110.6
8Michael LambrightWissahickon · SRFinish 19:33.119:33.119:04.3107.3
9Ryan AlzamoraMethacton 01 · JRFinish 19:50.219:50.219:21.0101.7
10Jaidyn Brown GloverPenn Wood 01 · SOFinish 19:55.919:55.919:26.599.9
11Logan TerranovaMethacton 01 · SOFinish 20:00.420:00.419:30.998.4
12Rylan HarlowGettysburg Area 03 · FRFinish 20:12.520:12.519:42.894.4
13Caleb HanWissahickon · JRFinish 20:13.520:13.519:43.794.1
14Landon PitzerGettysburg Area 03 · FRFinish 20:27.520:27.519:57.489.6
15Justin HainesWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 20:29.420:29.419:59.289.0
16Albert RossPenn Charter · FRFinish 20:31.420:31.420:01.288.3
17Andrew NgoranNortheast · SOFinish 20:46.520:46.520:15.983.4
18Alex CoupasPenn Charter · JRFinish 20:48.320:48.320:17.782.8
19Gilbert YangMethacton 01 · SOFinish 20:50.220:50.220:19.582.2
20Matthew CunninghamAbington · JRFinish 20:58.520:58.520:27.679.5
21Stephen McGrathMethacton 01 · SRFinish 21:02.521:02.520:31.578.2
22Liam BoyleMethacton 01 · SOFinish 21:06.621:06.620:35.576.9
23Ian Goldman-SmithGettysburg Area 03 · SOFinish 21:12.521:12.520:41.275.0
24Evan SperanzaMethacton 01 · JRFinish 21:15.121:15.120:43.874.1
25Anson ThomasMethacton 01 · SRFinish 21:19.121:19.120:47.772.8
26Ryan WeberMethacton 01 · SOFinish 21:21.021:21.020:49.672.2
27Ayden TekNortheast · SOFinish 21:27.521:27.520:55.970.1
28Lane JacobsGettysburg Area 03 · SOFinish 21:29.721:29.720:58.069.4
29Ryan KawasAbington · JRFinish 21:41.721:41.721:09.865.4
30Joe CurciPenn Charter · FRFinish 21:43.121:43.121:11.165.0
31Parker SeidelGettysburg Area 03 · FRFinish 22:01.122:01.121:28.659.2
32Liam MurphyGettysburg Area 03 · SOFinish 22:01.422:01.421:29.059.0
33Ross LeePenn Charter · SRFinish 22:04.822:04.821:32.357.9
34Harold PaynePenn Wood 01 · 7Finish 22:22.422:22.421:49.452.2
35Anay LodhaviaPenn Charter · SOFinish 22:35.822:35.822:02.547.9
36Roman LinNortheast · FRFinish 22:37.122:37.122:03.747.4
37Sean ThorellPenn Charter · SOFinish 22:40.622:40.622:07.246.3
38Caleb EdwardsAbington · JRFinish 22:44.222:44.222:10.745.1
39Evan BrightbillPenn Charter · FRFinish 22:51.222:51.222:17.542.9
40Julian GuzmanNortheast · SRFinish 22:57.022:57.022:23.241.0
41Aiden LeeWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 23:16.123:16.122:41.834.8
42Jesse HardingMethacton 01 · JRFinish 24:01.824:01.823:26.419.9
43Graham GleasonPenn Charter · SOFinish 24:19.524:19.523:43.714.1
44John KuffnerWissahickon 01 · SRFinish 24:40.924:40.924:04.67.2
45Kevin LinNortheast · JRFinish 24:41.924:41.924:05.56.9
46Rowan MannMethacton 01 · SRFinish 24:55.224:55.224:18.52.5
47Torrey CilibertoWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 25:31.825:31.824:54.2—
48Chace KimWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 25:33.125:33.124:55.5—
49Josh IvanNortheast · JRFinish 26:53.326:53.326:13.7—
50Carter FroimovitzWissahickon 01 · JRFinish 32:55.932:55.932:07.4—

abington xc invitational 2024, Sep 7, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.