NOVARUNNERS PROJECTIONS

VHSL Class 5 State Championship 2026

VHSL Class 5 State Championship, Sat Nov 7, 2026, Leesburg. Team standings projected from ratings, with each rating’s basis in view where it rests on a meet.

PROJECTION · UNOFFICIAL

Calculated Oct 30.

A deterministic projection, not a result. Each qualifying team’s seven highest-rated runners and the individual qualifiers are placed in rating order in one combined field per sex; the teams are then scored like a cross-country meet, with individuals taking no team place. It predicts no times and gives no probabilities.

COVERAGE

Who is rated, and from what.

Each runner’s rating is their best 2026 Statistical Rating on the day among their rated district and regional championship races, not their season best: varsity races only, middle-school runners left out, lower-tier races dropped. The field comes from the regional championships the coverage notes name, matched to that rating by athlete ID; a runner without a rated 2026 district or regional race is counted but not listed. How on-the-day ratings work

Class 5 State 2026 qualifying teams, individual qualifiers, rated runners and ranked teams, by sex
Coverage	Boys	Girls
Qualifying teams	12	12
Individual qualifiers	20	20
Rated runners in the field	104	101
Rated district or regional races (one · two or more)	10479 · 25	10173 · 28
Teams ranked (five or more rated)	12 of 12	12 of 12
Teams unranked	0	0
Statistical Rating K (2026 scale)	487.341	489.861

Ratings are each runner’s best 2026 on-the-day rating among their rated district and regional championship races (v16, as of 2026-10-30), not their season best. Field: the top 3 teams from the Region 5A, Region 5B, Region 5C and Region 5D championships (Oct 24, Oct 27 and Oct 28) and from each, the first 5 finishers not on a qualifying team, who run as individuals. Each qualifying team runs its 7 highest-rated runners among those who ran for it at its regional championship; the rest of its regional squad is not in the field. Individuals take no team place, so they never score or displace. Rated district and regional races per runner, over every runner the qualifying rule gives (each qualifying team’s squad and the individual qualifiers), boys: 25 with two or more, 79 with one, 0 with none; girls: 28 with two or more, 73 with one, 0 with none. A runner with none is not listed. The meet’s team list was not yet posted, so the field follows the qualifying rule alone. Regular-season races are not used; the 33 rated district and regional championships are on the meets page.

TEAM STANDINGS · COMBINED HYPOTHETICAL FIELD

Boys · Class 5 State 2026 projection

Scoring order in timing-sheet notation: the first five places add up to the score; the sixth and seventh, in parentheses, can displace other teams’ runners.Lower score is better

Rank

Team

Score

Scoring order

Runners by basis

Albemarle

2-7-8-10-11 (14)(20)

2026: 7

7 runners

Albemarle: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
2	Luke Kronebusch	176.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Jefferson District Championship, Oct 21 · also VHSL Region 5C XC Championships
7	Bryce Wright	168.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27 · also Jefferson District Championship
8	Eli Duncan	168.4	2026 · 2 meets	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27 · also Jefferson District Championship
10	Jack Mackey	167.3	2026 · 2 meets	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27 · also Jefferson District Championship
11	Benjamin Henley	165.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Jefferson District Championship, Oct 21 · also VHSL Region 5C XC Championships
(14)	Brody Lawson	159.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Jefferson District Championship, Oct 21 · also VHSL Region 5C XC Championships
(20)	Luke Goff	155.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Jefferson District Championship, Oct 21 · also VHSL Region 5C XC Championships

Deep Run

3-5-16-17-43 (50)(66)

2026: 7

7 runners

Deep Run: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
3	Raymond Trageser	174.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
5	Samuel Keefer	169.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
16	Luca Carlomagno	157.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
17	Jackson Keppler	156.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
43	Nikhil Shah	146.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
(50)	Grant Reilly	142.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
(66)	Henry Howard	126.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27

Ocean Lakes

103

9-19-22-26-27 (40)(44)

2026: 7

7 runners

Ocean Lakes: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
9	Fenton Million	167.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
19	Levi Pearson	156.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
22	Brady Curulla	155.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
26	Jack Ingram	152.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
27	Joshua Leidel	152.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
(40)	Trevor Holmes	148.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
(44)	Nathen Varghese	146.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24

Kellam

113

6-21-24-25-37 (48)(51)

2026: 7

7 runners

Kellam: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
6	Finnegan Manny	169.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
21	Stryker Balk	155.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
24	Grayson Manny	153.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
25	William Jackson	153.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
37	Lucien Routhier	148.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
(48)	Nolan Meadows	143.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
(51)	Flynn Drury	142.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24

Midlothian

144

1-13-23-52-55 (57)(60)

2026: 7

7 runners

Midlothian: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
1	Grayson Spiller	178.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
13	Zach Spencer	162.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
23	Kai Wotring	154.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
52	Noah Iniguez	141.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
55	Rahul Thorn	138.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
(57)	Garrett Tambourine	136.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27
(60)	Kyle Segura	133.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Region 5C XC Championships, Oct 27

Riverbend

150

12-30-33-34-41 (45)(58)

2026: 7

7 runners

Riverbend: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
12	Ethan Hacking	162.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28
30	Ryan Arnold	151.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28
33	Samuel Thompson	149.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28
34	Griffin Pesnell	149.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28
41	Peyton Eimers	147.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28
(45)	Aden Avalos	145.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28
(58)	Jay Rogucki	134.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28

Freedom (South Riding)

169

4-31-38-47-49 (53)(69)

2026: 7

7 runners

Freedom (South Riding): the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
4	Ebenezer Temesgen	170.5	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship
31	Charlie Dixon	150.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship
38	Colin Gunnoud	148.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship
47	Tanish Limgala	143.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Potomac District Championship, Oct 21 · also Region 5D XC Championship
49	Ryan Rafalko	143.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship
(53)	Jacob Vanison	139.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship
(69)	Akash Nair	122.7	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship

Briar Woods

218

15-42-46-54-61 (71)(73)

2026: 7

7 runners

Briar Woods: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
15	Ishaan Sheth	158.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship
42	Ramanathan Venkatesh	147.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship
46	William Broadfoot	144.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Potomac District Championship, Oct 21 · also Region 5D XC Championship
54	Enzo Franks	139.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Region 5D XC Championship, Oct 28 · also Potomac District Championship
61	Benjamin Harris	132.5	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Potomac District Championship, Oct 21 · also Region 5D XC Championship
(71)	George Butler	119.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Potomac District Championship, Oct 21 · also Region 5D XC Championship
(73)	Zach Sica	118.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Potomac District Championship, Oct 21 · also Region 5D XC Championship

Maury

249

29-36-59-62-63 (65)(76)

2026: 7

7 runners

Maury: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
29	Liam Winkel	151.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
36	Xaul Antero	148.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
59	Ben Kiefner	134.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
62	Jackson McMurdie	130.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
63	Xulian Canga	129.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
(65)	Luke Sadr	127.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
(76)	Chance Boney	111.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28

Granby

275

18-32-70-77-78 (80)(84)

2026: 7

7 runners

Granby: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
18	Davin Payne	156.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
32	Melvin Garcia	149.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
70	Eliyahu Guillen Chacon	121.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
77	Orlando Rodriguez	110.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
78	Eli Whitten	109.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
(80)	Angel Morales	106.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
(84)	Marcus Holland	86.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28

Norview

288

28-35-72-74-79 (81)(83)

2026: 7

7 runners

Norview: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
28	Cayden Coleman	152.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
35	Deagan Whyles	149.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
72	Donte Williams	118.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
74	Alixander Rivera	115.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
79	Romalies Fernandez	108.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
(81)	Jean Louis Moutchou	105.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28
(83)	Austin Martz	86.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL Class 5 Region B Cross Country Championship, Oct 28

Kempsville

294

39-56-64-67-68 (75)(82)

2026: 7

7 runners

Kempsville: the seven highest-rated regional runners, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
39	Kaleo Arrowsmith	148.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
56	Cyrus Williams	137.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
64	Derek Bharwani	129.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
67	Joseph Varbero	126.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
68	Asher Barry	125.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
(75)	Richard Leatherbury	114.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24
(82)	Jacob Cutchin	95.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP 2026, Oct 24

A score adds the first five team places. Team places count only runners on ranked teams, so they can be lower than the overall rating order. Tied scores are broken by the sixth runner’s place, and a team with a sixth runner ranks ahead of one without.

TOP INDIVIDUALS · RATING ORDER · NOT A FINISH PREDICTION

Boys · top 100 rated runners

Boys top rated runners, 1 to 25
Order	Runner / team	Statistical Rating	Rating basis	Team status
01	Grayson SpillerMidlothian	178.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
02	Luke KronebuschAlbemarle	176.1	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
03	Raymond TrageserDeep Run	174.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
04	Ebenezer TemesgenFreedom (South Riding)	170.5	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
05	Samuel KeeferDeep Run	169.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
06	Finnegan MannyKellam	169.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
07	Bryce WrightAlbemarle	168.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
08	Eli DuncanAlbemarle	168.4	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
09	Fenton MillionOcean Lakes	167.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
10	Jack MackeyAlbemarle	167.3	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
11	Benjamin HenleyAlbemarle	165.1	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
12	Colby BonannoClover Hill	164.4	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
13	Ethan HackingRiverbend	162.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
14	Zach SpencerMidlothian	162.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
15	Lewis McMillanGlen Allen	161.5	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
16	Jackson Pryor-KolsterGlen Allen	160.8	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
17	Brody LawsonAlbemarle	159.0	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
18	Easton FurrMassaponax	158.3	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
19	Ishaan ShethBriar Woods	158.1	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
20	Mitchell ElwellFranklin County	158.0	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
21	Luca CarlomagnoDeep Run	157.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
22	Jackson KepplerDeep Run	156.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
23	Davin PayneGranby	156.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
24	Levi PearsonOcean Lakes	156.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
25	Luke GoffAlbemarle	155.8	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven

Show all 100 (75 more)Showing all 100 · show fewer

Boys top rated runners, 26 to 100
Order	Runner / team	Statistical Rating	Rating basis	Team status
26	Stryker BalkKellam	155.1	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
27	Brady CurullaOcean Lakes	155.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
28	Kai WotringMidlothian	154.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
29	Emmett RaeRiverside	153.8	2026 · 2 meets	Individual qualifier (no team)
30	Levi WongStone Bridge	153.7	2026 · 2 meets	Individual qualifier (no team)
31	Grayson MannyKellam	153.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
32	Davis NewlinJames River (Midlothian)	153.1	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
33	William JacksonKellam	153.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
34	Jack IngramOcean Lakes	152.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
35	Joshua LeidelOcean Lakes	152.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
36	Ethan FassSalem (Virginia Beach)	152.4	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
37	Cayden ColemanNorview	152.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
38	Michael NigburPrincess Anne	152.0	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
39	Levi HighfillSalem (Virginia Beach)	151.9	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
40	Liam WinkelMaury	151.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
41	Ryan ArnoldRiverbend	151.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
42	Clay ReeceBethel	151.0	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
43	Charlie DixonFreedom (South Riding)	150.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
44	Timothy SigmundLightridge	150.3	2026 · 2 meets	Individual qualifier (no team)
45	Gabriel BarrientosStone Bridge	150.3	2026 · 2 meets	Individual qualifier (no team)
46	Wesley JonesFirst Colonial	149.9	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
47	Melvin GarciaGranby	149.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
48	Samuel ThompsonRiverbend	149.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
49	Griffin PesnellRiverbend	149.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
50	Deagan WhylesNorview	149.1	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
51	Xaul AnteroMaury	148.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
52	Lucien RouthierKellam	148.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
53	Colin GunnoudFreedom (South Riding)	148.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
54	Kaleo ArrowsmithKempsville	148.5	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
55	Trevor HolmesOcean Lakes	148.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
56	Peyton EimersRiverbend	147.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
57	Ramanathan VenkateshBriar Woods	147.0	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
58	Maximus HeiseTallwood	146.6	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
59	Nikhil ShahDeep Run	146.5	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
60	Nathen VargheseOcean Lakes	146.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
61	Aden AvalosRiverbend	145.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
62	William BroadfootBriar Woods	144.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
63	Tanish LimgalaFreedom (South Riding)	143.8	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
64	Nolan MeadowsKellam	143.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
65	Ryan RafalkoFreedom (South Riding)	143.2	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
66	Grant ReillyDeep Run	142.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
67	Flynn DruryKellam	142.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
68	Noah IniguezMidlothian	141.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
69	Jacob VanisonFreedom (South Riding)	139.8	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
70	Enzo FranksBriar Woods	139.0	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
71	Rahul ThornMidlothian	138.1	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
72	Cyrus WilliamsKempsville	137.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
73	Kingston ClarkWarwick	136.7	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
74	Garrett TambourineMidlothian	136.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
75	Jay RoguckiRiverbend	134.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
76	Ben KiefnerMaury	134.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
77	Kyle SeguraMidlothian	133.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
78	Titus LogsdonWarwick	133.5	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
79	Curtis Lassiter IIIWoodside	133.0	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
80	Benjamin HarrisBriar Woods	132.5	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
81	Soren HinesWarwick	131.3	2026 · 1 meet	Individual qualifier (no team)
82	Jackson McMurdieMaury	130.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
83	Xulian CangaMaury	129.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
84	Derek BharwaniKempsville	129.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
85	Luke SadrMaury	127.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
86	Henry HowardDeep Run	126.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
87	Joseph VarberoKempsville	126.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
88	Asher BarryKempsville	125.5	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
89	Akash NairFreedom (South Riding)	122.7	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
90	Eliyahu Guillen ChaconGranby	121.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
91	George ButlerBriar Woods	119.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
92	Donte WilliamsNorview	118.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
93	Zach SicaBriar Woods	118.2	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
94	Alixander RiveraNorview	115.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
95	Richard LeatherburyKempsville	114.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
96	Chance BoneyMaury	111.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
97	Orlando RodriguezGranby	110.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
98	Eli WhittenGranby	109.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
99	Romalies FernandezNorview	108.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
100	Angel MoralesGranby	106.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven

Order is by Statistical Rating among every rated runner in the field: each qualifying team’s seven and the individual qualifiers, who score for no team. A rating is the runner’s best district or regional race. The coverage notes describe the field. Runners with the same shown rating stay in unrounded order.

UNRANKED TEAMS · BOYS

0 qualifying teams with fewer than five rated runners

Unranked means not scored, not last. Their rated runners still appear in the individual order.

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What this projection is not.

A combined hypothetical field per sex. Qualification comes from the regional championships, not from the meet’s own lists, so the field can differ from who actually runs. This is not an official division result.
Qualifiers are not starters. A team’s seven highest-rated regional runners may not be the seven who run, and a qualifier may not start; each team’s other regional runners are not shown. A runner’s best district or regional race may be older than the regional championship.
Points are not predicted times. A Statistical Rating puts every course on one yardstick; it is not a predicted time, and not a Class 5 State course time.
No probabilities. Nothing here is a chance of winning, a margin or an interval.
Gaps stay gaps. Unrated runners and incomplete teams are missing evidence, not predictions of a slow or last-place finish.