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Nov 1, 2023 · Fairfax Station, VA

VCAC Championship

Burke Lake 2.98 Mile Course · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2025

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

VCAC Championship - 11/1/2023 Burke Lake Park Last Completed Event Event 2 Boys 5k Run CC

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B

75 of 75 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −79.2 s course and conditions −59.1 s in-season fitness −20.1 sCourse constant 470.81 (471)Race constant 468.91 (469)

60 used anchors± 3.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 60 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 60, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Calvin Dovgalyuk · Trinity Christian School: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Elijah Thompson · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Jared Crestetto · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  4. 4 James Bertram · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Austin Colvin · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Jace Gardner · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Insoo Larsen · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Ian Jang · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Louis Dobson · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Michael Brand · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Matthew Elliott · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Stephen Miller · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Kevin Ron · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4)
  14. 14 Jonah Berkey · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Cole Bornschein · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Lennon Fisher · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Thomas Mulhern · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Jerome Kramer · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  19. 19 William Lam · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Jacob Thompson · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Alexander Everson · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  22. 22 Daniel Jackson · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Braxton Easter · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Robert Fuller · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Woodberry Forest 47th Annual XC Invitational (Sep 22)
  25. 25 Joseph Starrs · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24)
  26. 27 Christopher Cooke · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24)
  27. 28 Peter Konstanty · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  28. 29 Patrick Gross · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  29. 31 Tristan Kilpatrick · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24)
  30. 32 Mason Kutch · Fredericksburg Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Fredericksburg Academy Invitational (Sep 26)
  31. 33 Max Wilson · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  32. 34 Samuel Jett · Fredericksburg Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  33. 35 Matthew Keeler · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24)
  34. 36 Benjamin Sizelove · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  35. 37 Luke Denton · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  36. 39 Moses Wolf · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  37. 41 Patrick Kay · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Grace Christian Staunton Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  38. 42 Joseph Dwane · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 1 more
  39. 43 William Odell · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24)
  40. 44 Camden Short · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24)
  41. 45 Bishop Metzger · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  42. 46 Caleb Hoover · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  43. 47 Liam White · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  44. 48 Jonathan Call · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  45. 50 John Higgins · Trinity Christian School: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7)
  46. 51 Nathaniel Pearson · Trinity Christian School: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7)
  47. 52 Kieran Kelly · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  48. 53 Noah Petras · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24)
  49. 55 Jingteng Shuai · Trinity Christian School: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7)
  50. 57 Christian Ghering · Seton School: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · Grace Christian Staunton Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 75 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Calvin DovgalyukTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 15:37.015:37.016:29.5160.1
2Elijah ThompsonSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 16:21.116:21.117:16.1144.6
3Jared CrestettoTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 16:22.616:22.617:17.7144.0
4James BertramSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.316:33.317:28.9140.3
5Austin ColvinSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.816:33.817:29.4140.1
6Jace GardnerTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 16:41.816:41.817:37.9137.3
7Insoo LarsenTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 16:42.216:42.217:38.3137.2
8Ian JangTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 17:07.117:07.118:04.6128.4
9Louis DobsonSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 17:13.417:13.418:11.2126.2
10Michael BrandSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 17:16.317:16.318:14.3125.2
11Matthew ElliottSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 17:21.517:21.518:19.9123.3
12Stephen MillerSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 17:28.117:28.118:26.8121.0
13Kevin RonTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 17:30.117:30.118:28.9120.3
14Jonah BerkeySaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 17:34.717:34.718:33.7118.7
15Cole BornscheinSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 17:35.817:35.818:34.9118.3
16Lennon FisherImmanuel Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 17:37.217:37.218:36.4117.8
17Thomas MulhernSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 17:41.117:41.118:40.5116.4
18Jerome KramerSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 17:41.917:41.918:41.4116.1
19William LamTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 17:42.217:42.218:41.7116.0
20Jacob ThompsonSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 17:42.517:42.518:41.9116.0
21Alexander EversonSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 17:49.117:49.118:48.9113.6
22Daniel JacksonSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 17:49.417:49.418:49.2113.5
23Braxton EasterImmanuel Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 18:00.718:00.719:01.2109.6
24Robert FullerSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:03.118:03.119:03.7108.7
25Joseph StarrsSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:05.418:05.419:06.2107.9
26Ethan GarciaSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:09.018:09.019:10.0106.6
27Christopher CookeSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:11.618:11.619:12.7105.7
28Peter KonstantySeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 18:17.918:17.919:19.3103.5
29Patrick GrossSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 18:19.818:19.819:21.4102.8
30Matthew SjursetSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:24.918:24.919:26.8101.0
31Tristan KilpatrickSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:27.618:27.619:29.6100.1
32Mason KutchFredericksburg Academy · Grade not recordedFinish 18:29.718:29.719:31.899.3
33Max WilsonSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 18:35.518:35.519:38.097.3
34Samuel JettFredericksburg Academy · Grade not recordedFinish 18:37.118:37.119:39.796.7
35Matthew KeelerSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:42.818:42.819:45.794.7
36Benjamin SizeloveImmanuel Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 18:46.118:46.119:49.293.5
37Luke DentonTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 18:46.418:46.419:49.593.4
38Joseph RobertsSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:46.718:46.719:49.893.3
39Moses WolfImmanuel Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 18:48.218:48.219:51.392.8
40Brogan JordanSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 18:52.518:52.519:55.991.3
41Patrick KaySeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 19:10.719:10.720:15.284.9
42Joseph DwaneSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 19:21.719:21.720:26.781.0
43William OdellSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 19:23.919:23.920:29.180.3
44Camden ShortSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 19:29.819:29.820:35.378.2
45Bishop MetzgerTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 19:38.219:38.220:44.275.2
46Caleb HooverTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 19:52.719:52.720:59.570.1
47Liam WhiteImmanuel Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 19:53.119:53.120:59.970.0
48Jonathan CallImmanuel Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 19:53.619:53.621:00.469.8
49James FullerSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 19:55.519:55.521:02.469.1
50John HigginsTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 19:55.919:55.921:02.869.0
Show all 75 results (25 more)Showing all 75 results · hide rows 51–75
Boys results, rows 51 to 75 of 75
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Nathaniel PearsonTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 19:56.119:56.121:03.168.9
52Kieran KellySeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 20:06.820:06.821:14.465.1
53Noah PetrasSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 20:27.320:27.321:36.057.9
54Peter LasseterSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 20:30.520:30.521:39.456.8
55Jingteng ShuaiTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 20:31.420:31.421:40.356.5
56Andy KernSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 20:34.120:34.121:43.255.5
57Christian GheringSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 20:41.820:41.821:51.352.8
58Nick VaughanSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 21:03.621:03.622:14.345.2
59Michael BroxSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 21:04.621:04.622:15.444.8
60William LarsenTrinity Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 21:05.721:05.722:16.544.4
61Noah VaughanSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 21:10.721:10.722:21.842.7
62Christopher MiclotSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 21:13.821:13.822:25.141.6
63Maden PonzarImmanuel Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 21:16.721:16.722:28.140.6
64Gabriel DwaneSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 21:20.221:20.222:31.939.3
65Andrew McGillSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 22:08.422:08.423:22.822.4
66Peter HartungSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 22:11.822:11.823:26.321.2
67Benjamin BlueyImmanuel Christian School · Grade not recordedFinish 22:26.922:26.923:42.315.8
68Luke GriffinSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 22:29.922:29.923:45.414.8
69Sebastian CrossSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 22:40.722:40.723:56.911.0
70Ben EllisSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 23:14.523:14.524:32.6—
71Paul DobsonSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 23:17.923:17.924:36.2—
72Peter HansenSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 24:11.724:11.725:32.9—
73William PoppSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 24:19.624:19.625:41.3—
74Andrew GheringSeton School · Grade not recordedFinish 24:32.724:32.725:55.1—
75Jack RamselSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 25:52.425:52.427:19.3—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Results Girls 5000 Meter Run

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B

84 of 84 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −83.2 s course and conditions −61.7 s in-season fitness −21.5 sCourse constant 468.37 (468)Race constant 466.16 (466)

65 used anchors± 3.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 65 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 65, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Caroline Myers · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Anna Chronister · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Julia Dean · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Virginia Henson · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Agnes Currey · Immanuel Christian School: Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · FHS Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Melissa Petras · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Leyla Hsieh · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Catherine Dunch · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  9. 9 Kate Howell · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  10. 10 CeCe Lucas · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Ari Hensley · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Caitlyn Noel · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Katrina Carter · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Isabella Alicea · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Rose Waldron · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Erynn Spiegeler · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Gianna Albanese · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Tegan Bechtel · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Maddie Jennings · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Lianor Sweda · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  21. 21 Grace Fortier · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  22. 23 Grace Taylor · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  23. 24 Maggi Hsieh · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  24. 25 Grace Liotta · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  25. 26 Lily Griffin · Seton School: Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · Grace Christian Staunton Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  26. 27 Tessa Bailey · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  27. 28 Abby Gould · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  28. 29 Izabella Castillo · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  29. 30 Evie Miller · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  30. 31 Maude Parker · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  31. 32 Maddisen Bess · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  32. 33 Heidi Clark · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Nov 4)
  33. 34 Eloise Schlieter · Trinity Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  34. 35 Courtney Dix · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  35. 36 Anastaysa Drysdale · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  36. 37 Katherine Hanna · Trinity Christian School: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  37. 38 Heidi Burke · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  38. 39 Isabel Haslam · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  39. 40 Evelyn Elliot · Trinity Christian School: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  40. 41 Reese Almelor · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  41. 42 Macee Peterson · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  42. 43 Penny Kramer · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
  43. 44 Monica Hartung · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 1 more
  44. 45 Audrey Schlieter · Trinity Christian School: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Great Meadow Invitational (Sep 9) · and 1 more
  45. 46 Claire Millard · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  46. 47 Ava Ferry · Oakcrest School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  47. 49 Emma Roberson · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  48. 50 Addison Geyer · Fredericksburg Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Fredericksburg Academy Invitational (Sep 26) · and 1 more
  49. 52 Eilish Jameson · Saint John Paul the Great Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9)
  50. 53 Mary Catherine Munsell · Seton School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 2 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 84 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Caroline MyersTrinity Christian School · JRFinish 19:47.519:47.520:57.375.1
2Anna ChronisterTrinity Christian School · 8Finish 20:08.020:08.021:19.167.8
3Julia DeanTrinity Christian School · JRFinish 20:17.920:17.921:29.664.3
4Virginia HensonFredericksburg Christian School · JRFinish 20:23.320:23.321:35.362.4
5Agnes CurreyImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 20:29.520:29.521:41.860.2
6Melissa PetrasSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · JRFinish 20:50.020:50.022:03.553.0
7Leyla HsiehTrinity Christian School · JRFinish 20:58.020:58.022:12.050.2
8Catherine DunchOakcrest School · SRFinish 21:06.721:06.722:21.247.1
9Kate HowellFredericksburg Christian School · FRFinish 21:11.021:11.022:25.745.6
10CeCe LucasFredericksburg Christian School · SRFinish 21:13.621:13.622:28.544.7
11Ari HensleyTrinity Christian School · SOFinish 21:14.221:14.222:29.144.4
12Caitlyn NoelTrinity Christian School · 8Finish 21:17.621:17.622:32.743.3
13Katrina CarterSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · JRFinish 21:19.921:19.922:35.242.4
14Isabella AliceaSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · SRFinish 21:23.121:23.122:38.641.3
15Rose WaldronSeton School · JRFinish 21:29.721:29.722:45.639.0
16Erynn SpiegelerSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · JRFinish 21:30.021:30.022:45.938.9
17Gianna AlbaneseSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · SOFinish 21:49.421:49.423:06.432.0
18Tegan BechtelSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · FRFinish 21:55.621:55.623:13.029.8
19Maddie JenningsTrinity Christian School · SOFinish 22:05.422:05.423:23.426.4
20Lianor SwedaOakcrest School · SRFinish 22:07.222:07.223:25.225.8
21Grace FortierImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 22:11.022:11.023:29.324.4
22Cecilia AndrewsOakcrest School · FRFinish 22:14.022:14.023:32.523.3
23Grace TaylorImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 22:17.522:17.523:36.122.1
24Maggi HsiehTrinity Christian School · FRFinish 22:19.122:19.123:37.821.6
25Grace LiottaOakcrest School · FRFinish 22:22.322:22.323:41.320.4
26Lily GriffinSeton School · SRFinish 22:23.322:23.323:42.320.1
27Tessa BaileyOakcrest School · SOFinish 22:31.422:31.423:50.917.2
28Abby GouldFredericksburg Christian School · JRFinish 22:34.122:34.123:53.816.2
29Izabella CastilloFredericksburg Christian School · JRFinish 22:36.322:36.323:56.115.5
30Evie MillerTrinity Christian School · SRFinish 22:36.522:36.523:56.315.4
31Maude ParkerOakcrest School · JRFinish 22:38.222:38.223:58.114.8
32Maddisen BessImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 22:39.722:39.723:59.614.3
33Heidi ClarkImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 22:40.522:40.524:00.614.0
34Eloise SchlieterTrinity Christian School · FRFinish 22:47.722:47.724:08.211.4
35Courtney DixFredericksburg Christian School · SOFinish 22:48.122:48.124:08.511.3
36Anastaysa DrysdaleOakcrest School · FRFinish 23:06.423:06.424:28.04.8
37Katherine HannaTrinity Christian School · SRFinish 23:14.423:14.424:36.42.0
38Heidi BurkeOakcrest School · SRFinish 23:15.123:15.124:37.21.8
39Isabel HaslamOakcrest School · SOFinish 23:15.923:15.924:38.01.5
40Evelyn ElliotTrinity Christian School · JRFinish 23:37.323:37.325:00.6—
41Reese AlmelorSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · SOFinish 23:44.823:44.825:08.6—
42Macee PetersonFredericksburg Christian School · FRFinish 23:47.923:47.925:11.9—
43Penny KramerSeton School · FRFinish 23:48.323:48.325:12.3—
44Monica HartungSeton School · SOFinish 23:52.923:52.925:17.2—
45Audrey SchlieterTrinity Christian School · SOFinish 23:55.123:55.125:19.5—
46Claire MillardOakcrest School · SOFinish 24:04.624:04.625:29.6—
47Ava FerryOakcrest School · SOFinish 24:19.424:19.425:45.3—
48Lacey TurnerOakcrest School · FRFinish 24:19.824:19.825:45.6—
49Emma RobersonFredericksburg Christian School · SOFinish 24:49.824:49.826:17.4—
50Addison GeyerFredericksburg Christian School · JRFinish 24:54.024:54.026:21.9—
Show all 84 results (34 more)Showing all 84 results · hide rows 51–84
Girls results, rows 51 to 84 of 84
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Kate CahillOakcrest School · SOFinish 25:01.725:01.726:30.0—
52Eilish JamesonSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · FRFinish 25:03.725:03.726:32.1—
53Mary Catherine MunsellSeton School · SOFinish 25:18.225:18.226:47.5—
54Evelyn TurnerTrinity Christian School · SOFinish 25:20.325:20.326:49.7—
55Josephine LivelyOakcrest School · SOFinish 25:37.825:37.827:08.3—
56Ellie MarxOakcrest School · SOFinish 25:43.425:43.427:14.1—
57Sophie BourdelaisOakcrest School · FRFinish 25:43.725:43.727:14.5—
58Claire WebbFredericksburg Christian School · JRFinish 25:56.525:56.527:28.1—
59Sarah AndersonImmanuel Christian School · JRFinish 26:01.026:01.027:32.8—
60Amelia MageeOakcrest School · SOFinish 26:11.026:11.027:43.4—
61Nariko MontesSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · SOFinish 26:17.826:17.827:50.6—
62Luciana FernandezOakcrest School · FRFinish 26:19.526:19.527:52.4—
63Tomi LagbajaImmanuel Christian School · JRFinish 26:25.426:25.427:58.6—
64Emma CannitoOakcrest School · FRFinish 26:27.726:27.728:01.0—
65Ruthie ParsonsImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 26:28.026:28.028:01.4—
66Philomena KaySeton School · FRFinish 26:30.026:30.028:03.5—
67Cora KramerSeton School · FRFinish 26:35.626:35.628:09.5—
68Reagan BrockImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 26:42.526:42.528:16.7—
69Weronika PiorkowskaOakcrest School · SRFinish 26:45.626:45.628:20.1—
70Zoe LarsonOakcrest School · SOFinish 26:46.026:46.028:20.5—
71Helen GressOakcrest School · FRFinish 26:51.326:51.328:26.1—
72Cadence CumminsOakcrest School · FRFinish 27:14.727:14.728:50.8—
73Elise ClarkImmanuel Christian School · JRFinish 27:18.227:18.228:54.5—
74Noemi RodriguezSeton School · FRFinish 27:28.027:28.029:04.9—
75Justyce WilliamsFredericksburg Christian School · FRFinish 28:10.228:10.229:49.6—
76Marina SalvadorOakcrest School · SRFinish 28:21.728:21.730:01.8—
77Colette KramerSeton School · SOFinish 29:11.429:11.430:54.4—
78Nicole LeongImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 30:16.230:16.232:03.0—
79Deirdre KellyOakcrest School · SRFinish 30:35.530:35.532:23.4—
80Sophia EstebanSaint John Paul the Great Catholic · SOFinish 30:53.730:53.732:42.8—
81Mariah DuBoisImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 30:58.630:58.632:48.0—
82Bethel IsaacImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 31:30.231:30.233:21.4—
83Anne GressOakcrest School · JRFinish 32:45.632:45.634:41.2—
84Agata SyskiOakcrest School · FRFinish 32:46.032:46.034:41.7—

VCAC Championship, Nov 1, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.