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Nov 2, 2023 · Fairfax Station, VA

2023 Occoquan Region CC Championship

Burke Lake 2.98 Mile Course · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2025 · 2024 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

2023 Occoquan Region CC Championship November 02, 2023 3 Mile Course-Overall Finish List - Boys All Teams O'all

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B

83 of 83 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −70.8 s course and conditions −50.6 s in-season fitness −20.2 sCourse constant 475.53 (476)Race constant 473.81 (474)

83 used anchors± 4.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 83 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 83, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Nayan Kasperowski · South County: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  2. 2 James Cicero · West Potomac: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Patrick Gaffney · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Robert Leonard · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Jibran Hutchins · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Matthew Ruby · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Rami Dib · Thomas Edison: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  8. 8 George Brennan · Hayfield: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Josef Gruendel · James Robinson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Addison Brooks · Mount Vernon: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Stellan Schmaltz · Thomas Edison: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Christian Bachmann · Lake Braddock: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Gavin Zais · Hayfield: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Bobby Leone · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Cael Alonzo · West Springfield: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Jack Pritchard · West Springfield: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Timothy Asady-Kany · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Jonas Yiengst · West Springfield: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Luke Flecker · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Stephen Wolf · W.T. Woodson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Theodore Hwang · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Nelson Lattimer · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14)
  23. 23 Alexander Featherly · South County: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Diego Barrera · Thomas Edison: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  25. 25 Luke Westmoreland · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Kevin Dermody · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  27. 27 Nahom Hailemariam · W.T. Woodson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Will Fadden · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Pranav Velleleth · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Will Thomas · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Jack Sutton · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Breighton Carlson · Thomas Edison: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  33. 33 Matteo De Altin Popiolek · Thomas Edison: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  34. 34 David Wetzler · Thomas Edison: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  35. 35 Nathan Liu · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  36. 36 Charlie Lamb · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  37. 37 Trey Gagermeier · Falls Church: National District CC Championship (Oct 26)
  38. 38 Mark Gaydos · West Springfield: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  39. 39 Jacob Banocy · Hayfield: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Bence Fulwiler · James Robinson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  41. 41 Yoryi Roque · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  42. 42 Jack Downey · Thomas Edison: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  43. 43 Hector Rivera · Hayfield: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  44. 44 Zain Elcock · W.T. Woodson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  45. 45 Sean Rade · W.T. Woodson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  46. 46 Ivan Panov · Hayfield: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Aidan Jones · W.T. Woodson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  48. 48 Ethan King · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  49. 49 Noah Canzoneri Crozier · Justice: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  50. 50 Daniel Watson · South County: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 83 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Nayan KasperowskiSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 14:42.014:42.015:24.4181.8
2James CiceroWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 15:09.015:09.015:52.7172.4
3Patrick GaffneyLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 15:14.015:14.015:58.0170.6
4Robert LeonardWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 15:15.015:15.015:59.0170.3
5Jibran HutchinsC.G. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 15:16.015:16.016:00.1169.9
6Matthew RubyThomas Jefferson S&T · Grade not recordedFinish 15:26.015:26.016:10.5166.4
7Rami DibThomas Edison · Grade not recordedFinish 15:28.015:28.016:12.6165.7
8George BrennanHayfield · Grade not recordedFinish 15:29.015:29.016:13.7165.4
9Josef GruendelJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 15:35.015:35.016:20.0163.3
10Addison BrooksMount Vernon · Grade not recordedFinish 15:38.015:38.016:23.1162.2
11Stellan SchmaltzThomas Edison · Grade not recordedFinish 15:45.015:45.016:30.4159.8
12Christian BachmannLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 15:45.015:45.016:30.4159.8
13Gavin ZaisHayfield · Grade not recordedFinish 15:47.015:47.016:32.5159.1
14Bobby LeoneLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 15:49.015:49.016:34.6158.4
15Cael AlonzoWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 15:51.015:51.016:36.7157.7
16Jack PritchardWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 15:57.015:57.016:43.0155.6
17Timothy Asady-KanyLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 15:57.015:57.016:43.0155.6
18Jonas YiengstWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:00.016:00.016:46.2154.5
19Luke FleckerThomas Jefferson S&T · Grade not recordedFinish 16:05.016:05.016:51.4152.8
20Stephen WolfW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:08.016:08.016:54.6151.8
21Theodore HwangThomas Jefferson S&T · Grade not recordedFinish 16:17.016:17.017:04.0148.6
22Nelson LattimerLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 16:17.016:17.017:04.0148.6
23Alexander FeatherlySouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 16:18.016:18.017:05.0148.3
24Diego BarreraThomas Edison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:22.016:22.017:09.2146.9
25Luke WestmorelandWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 16:23.016:23.017:10.3146.5
26Kevin DermodyLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 16:24.016:24.017:11.3146.2
27Nahom HailemariamW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:26.016:26.017:13.4145.5
28Will FaddenThomas Jefferson S&T · Grade not recordedFinish 16:28.016:28.017:15.5144.8
29Pranav VellelethThomas Jefferson S&T · Grade not recordedFinish 16:28.016:28.017:15.5144.8
30Will ThomasLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 16:28.016:28.017:15.5144.8
31Jack SuttonWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 16:30.016:30.017:17.6144.1
32Breighton CarlsonThomas Edison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.016:33.017:20.8143.0
33Matteo De Altin PopiolekThomas Edison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.016:33.017:20.8143.0
34David WetzlerThomas Edison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.016:33.017:20.8143.0
35Nathan LiuThomas Jefferson S&T · Grade not recordedFinish 16:36.016:36.017:23.9142.0
36Charlie LambWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 16:37.016:37.017:24.9141.6
37Trey GagermeierFalls Church · Grade not recordedFinish 16:38.016:38.017:26.0141.3
38Mark GaydosWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:41.016:41.017:29.1140.2
39Jacob BanocyHayfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:43.016:43.017:31.2139.5
40Bence FulwilerJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:43.016:43.017:31.2139.5
41Yoryi RoqueWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 16:45.016:45.017:33.3138.8
42Jack DowneyThomas Edison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:46.016:46.017:34.4138.5
43Hector RiveraHayfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:50.016:50.017:38.6137.1
44Zain ElcockW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:52.016:52.017:40.7136.4
45Sean RadeW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:53.016:53.017:41.7136.0
46Ivan PanovHayfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:54.016:54.017:42.8135.7
47Aidan JonesW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:56.016:56.017:44.9135.0
48Ethan KingThomas Jefferson S&T · Grade not recordedFinish 16:59.016:59.017:48.0133.9
49Noah Canzoneri CrozierJustice · Grade not recordedFinish 17:01.017:01.017:50.1133.2
50Daniel WatsonSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 17:05.017:05.017:54.3131.8
Show all 83 results (33 more)Showing all 83 results · hide rows 51–83
Boys results, rows 51 to 83 of 83
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Ryan RolshouseMount Vernon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:05.017:05.017:54.3131.8
52Aidan MusgroveFalls Church · Grade not recordedFinish 17:11.017:11.018:00.6129.7
53Edison DeanWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:12.017:12.018:01.6129.4
54Sebastian HaworthWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:15.017:15.018:04.8128.3
55Zachary ParedesJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:19.017:19.018:09.0126.9
56Gus NeubergFalls Church · Grade not recordedFinish 17:21.017:21.018:11.1126.2
57Oleksandr StryzhakWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 17:23.017:23.018:13.2125.5
58Thomas AgentsJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:24.017:24.018:14.2125.2
59David BoydHayfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:25.017:25.018:15.3124.8
60Colin MichaelHayfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:25.017:25.018:15.3124.8
61Emmanuel AregayJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:26.017:26.018:16.3124.5
62Samuel RossFalls Church · Grade not recordedFinish 17:26.017:26.018:16.3124.5
63Colin MillerSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 17:27.017:27.018:17.3124.2
64Izrael DiazSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 17:31.017:31.018:21.5122.8
65Ino PuenteWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:34.017:34.018:24.7121.7
66Michael LloydSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 17:35.017:35.018:25.7121.4
67Connor LanbergJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:37.017:37.018:27.8120.7
68Adam SyarJustice · Grade not recordedFinish 17:38.017:38.018:28.9120.3
69Aiden SweezeaJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:47.017:47.018:38.3117.2
70David O'ZwoldikeMount Vernon · Grade not recordedFinish 18:02.018:02.018:54.0111.9
71Josh KimSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 18:04.018:04.018:56.1111.2
72Aiden RagsdaleFalls Church · Grade not recordedFinish 18:11.018:11.019:03.5108.8
73Alec VaughanMount Vernon · Grade not recordedFinish 18:12.018:12.019:04.5108.4
74Nathaniel D'MelloFalls Church · Grade not recordedFinish 18:14.018:14.019:06.6107.7
75Oliver RaakMount Vernon · Grade not recordedFinish 18:20.018:20.019:12.9105.6
76David HammondMount Vernon · Grade not recordedFinish 18:21.018:21.019:13.9105.3
77Dylan WatsonJustice · Grade not recordedFinish 18:28.018:28.019:21.3102.8
78Matthew BrownMount Vernon · Grade not recordedFinish 18:48.018:48.019:42.295.9
79Angel Ostorga AmayaJustice · Grade not recordedFinish 19:21.019:21.020:16.884.3
80Maurico Melgar-CastroJustice · Grade not recordedFinish 19:25.019:25.020:21.082.9
81Will MiracleFalls Church · Grade not recordedFinish 19:32.019:32.020:28.480.5
82Joseph LillerJustice · Grade not recordedFinish 19:53.019:53.020:50.473.1
83Abdullah SutyanJustice · Grade not recordedFinish 21:09.021:09.022:10.046.6

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Results Girls Three Mile Run

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B

83 of 83 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −77.9 s course and conditions −56.3 s in-season fitness −21.6 sCourse constant 473.91 (474)Race constant 472.02 (472)

83 used anchors± 3.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 83 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 83, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Aidan MacGrath · West Springfield: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Karina Bird · James Robinson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Keira Arenholz · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Alexandra Bird · James Robinson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Celia Dawson · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Haley Heironimus · Falls Church: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Sarah Hymans · C.G. Woodson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Adeline Barker · West Springfield: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · and 5 more
  9. 9 Ariana Lopez · James Robinson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Chloe Miller · West Springfield: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Monika Lukas · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Sita Lamartin · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Rickelle Bush · West Springfield: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Hadley Vanek · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Reagan Leone · West Springfield: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Anna Strafford · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Kaylee Horner · West Springfield: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Claire Aponte · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Molly Weisel · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Lily Westphal · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Emily Morosco · James Robinson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Isabella Phillips · Falls Church: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Madilyn Lewis · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Isabella Snow · James Robinson: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Kendall Williams · South County: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Laela Henderson · Hayfield: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Charlotte Movsessian · James Robinson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  28. 28 Samantha Wierschke · James Robinson: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Megan O'Dea · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Mica Karotkin · Justice: National District CC Championship (Oct 26)
  31. 31 Milla Cronin · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Sophia Finlan · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  33. 33 Alexi Keyes · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  34. 34 Grace Wevley · West Springfield: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Colette Foley · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  36. 36 Ava Mamienski · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  37. 37 Nadia Shutov · Falls Church: National District CC Championship (Oct 26)
  38. 38 Emma Hering · Hayfield: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  39. 39 Cameron Crozier · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26)
  40. 40 Makayla Patrick · West Potomac: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  41. 41 Kiara Frey · Thomas Edison: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  42. 42 Alex Coombs · South County: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Cierra Min · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  44. 44 Keira Bourkland · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  45. 45 Samantha Maloney · Thomas Jefferson S&T: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  46. 46 Isabelle Garcia · South County: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Ella Galway · Justice: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  48. 48 Evelyn Keefer · Falls Church: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Natalie Holland · Mount Vernon: National District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  50. 50 Maya Gilbert · Lake Braddock: Patriot District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 83 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Aidan MacGrathWest Springfield · SRFinish 17:08.017:08.018:03.3133.1
2Karina BirdJames Robinson · FRFinish 17:23.017:23.018:19.1127.8
3Keira ArenholzC.G. Woodson · SOFinish 17:27.017:27.018:23.3126.4
4Alexandra BirdJames Robinson · FRFinish 17:42.017:42.018:39.1121.1
5Celia DawsonC.G. Woodson · SRFinish 17:52.017:52.018:49.7117.6
6Haley HeironimusFalls Church · SRFinish 17:54.017:54.018:51.8116.9
7Sarah HymansC.G. Woodson · JRFinish 17:57.017:57.018:54.9115.8
8Adeline BarkerWest Springfield · JRFinish 18:00.018:00.018:58.1114.8
9Ariana LopezJames Robinson · SOFinish 18:03.018:03.019:01.3113.7
10Chloe MillerWest Springfield · SRFinish 18:10.018:10.019:08.6111.3
11Monika LukasC.G. Woodson · SOFinish 18:18.018:18.019:17.1108.5
12Sita LamartinThomas Jefferson S&T · FRFinish 18:19.018:19.019:18.1108.1
13Rickelle BushWest Springfield · SOFinish 18:35.018:35.019:35.0102.5
14Hadley VanekC.G. Woodson · FRFinish 18:41.018:41.019:41.3100.4
15Reagan LeoneWest Springfield · FRFinish 18:42.018:42.019:42.4100.0
16Anna StraffordC.G. Woodson · JRFinish 18:51.018:51.019:51.896.9
17Kaylee HornerWest Springfield · JRFinish 18:52.018:52.019:52.996.5
18Claire AponteLake Braddock · SOFinish 18:54.018:54.019:55.095.8
19Molly WeiselWest Potomac · SRFinish 18:55.018:55.019:56.195.5
20Lily WestphalWest Potomac · JRFinish 18:57.018:57.019:58.294.8
21Emily MoroscoJames Robinson · SOFinish 19:06.019:06.020:07.791.6
22Isabella PhillipsFalls Church · JRFinish 19:15.019:15.020:17.188.4
23Madilyn LewisLake Braddock · JRFinish 19:20.019:20.020:22.486.7
24Isabella SnowJames Robinson · SRFinish 19:23.019:23.020:25.685.6
25Kendall WilliamsSouth County · SOFinish 19:24.019:24.020:26.685.3
26Laela HendersonHayfield · JRFinish 19:25.019:25.020:27.784.9
27Charlotte MovsessianJames Robinson · SOFinish 19:27.019:27.020:29.884.2
28Samantha WierschkeJames Robinson · JRFinish 19:33.019:33.020:36.182.1
29Megan O'DeaWest Potomac · SOFinish 19:33.019:33.020:36.182.1
30Mica KarotkinJustice · SOFinish 19:37.019:37.020:40.380.7
31Milla CroninC.G. Woodson · SRFinish 19:48.019:48.020:51.976.9
32Sophia FinlanLake Braddock · FRFinish 19:56.019:56.021:00.374.0
33Alexi KeyesWest Potomac · SOFinish 20:03.020:03.021:07.771.6
34Grace WevleyWest Springfield · SRFinish 20:07.020:07.021:11.970.2
35Colette FoleyWest Potomac · FRFinish 20:08.020:08.021:13.069.8
36Ava MamienskiWest Potomac · SRFinish 20:11.020:11.021:16.168.8
37Nadia ShutovFalls Church · FRFinish 20:11.020:11.021:16.168.8
38Emma HeringHayfield · JRFinish 20:13.020:13.021:18.368.1
39Cameron CrozierLake Braddock · SOFinish 20:18.020:18.021:23.566.3
40Makayla PatrickWest Potomac · JRFinish 20:19.020:19.021:24.666.0
41Kiara FreyThomas Edison · SRFinish 20:29.020:29.021:35.162.5
42Alex CoombsSouth County · SOFinish 20:35.020:35.021:41.460.3
43Cierra MinThomas Jefferson S&T · SRFinish 20:49.020:49.021:56.255.4
44Keira BourklandLake Braddock · FRFinish 20:52.020:52.021:59.454.4
45Samantha MaloneyThomas Jefferson S&T · SOFinish 20:54.020:54.022:01.553.7
46Isabelle GarciaSouth County · JRFinish 20:55.020:55.022:02.553.3
47Ella GalwayJustice · JRFinish 20:55.020:55.022:02.553.3
48Evelyn KeeferFalls Church · SRFinish 20:56.020:56.022:03.653.0
49Natalie HollandMount Vernon · JRFinish 20:57.020:57.022:04.652.6
50Maya GilbertLake Braddock · JRFinish 20:57.020:57.022:04.652.6
Show all 83 results (33 more)Showing all 83 results · hide rows 51–83
Girls results, rows 51 to 83 of 83
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Taylor PavlakSouth County · SRFinish 20:59.020:59.022:06.751.9
52Rylea VandenbemdenHayfield · FRFinish 21:00.021:00.022:07.851.6
53Haylie WalkerHayfield · SOFinish 21:04.021:04.022:12.050.2
54Samantha CowenThomas Edison · SRFinish 21:05.021:05.022:13.149.8
55Elizabeth NicholsJustice · SRFinish 21:05.021:05.022:13.149.8
56Taylor KurzSouth County · SRFinish 21:06.021:06.022:14.149.5
57Stella ChangThomas Jefferson S&T · SOFinish 21:07.021:07.022:15.249.1
58Halle KnottThomas Edison · FRFinish 21:09.021:09.022:17.348.4
59Avery KingThomas Edison · SOFinish 21:10.021:10.022:18.348.1
60Ella OliverThomas Jefferson S&T · SOFinish 21:13.021:13.022:21.547.0
61Rhys SmithThomas Edison · FRFinish 21:15.021:15.022:23.646.3
62Ava EllisSouth County · SOFinish 21:32.021:32.022:41.540.3
63Nora TibbalsJustice · FRFinish 21:45.021:45.022:55.235.8
64Lacey LussierMount Vernon · SOFinish 21:51.021:51.023:01.533.7
65Kylee HughartLake Braddock · JRFinish 21:54.021:54.023:04.732.6
66Camryn CoughlinJustice · JRFinish 22:00.022:00.023:11.030.5
67Sloane CareyHayfield · SOFinish 22:03.022:03.023:14.229.4
68Reese PavlakSouth County · SRFinish 22:06.022:06.023:17.328.4
69Alaura ThapaThomas Jefferson S&T · SOFinish 22:20.022:20.023:32.123.5
70Anna OvsijenkoMount Vernon · SRFinish 22:23.022:23.023:35.222.4
71Adelaide GagnonHayfield · FRFinish 22:24.022:24.023:36.322.1
72Ellie PhillipsHayfield · JRFinish 22:28.022:28.023:40.520.7
73Tess GalwayJustice · JRFinish 22:46.022:46.023:59.514.3
74Raine JeffJustice · SOFinish 22:49.022:49.024:02.613.3
75Lynette Ortiz-RojasThomas Edison · FRFinish 22:57.022:57.024:11.110.5
76Charlotte HenryFalls Church · FRFinish 23:09.023:09.024:23.76.3
77Vella (Prix HixsonFalls Church · SOFinish 23:09.023:09.024:23.76.3
78Sarah LadermanThomas Edison · JRFinish 23:46.023:46.025:02.7—
79Elie LervikMount Vernon · SRFinish 24:26.024:26.025:44.9—
80Gisel Torrico PerezFalls Church · FRFinish 25:43.025:43.027:06.0—
81Audrey Ortiz-PetersonMount Vernon · SOFinish 26:14.026:14.027:38.7—
82Estelle AboagyeMount Vernon · SRFinish 27:02.027:02.028:29.3—
83Gisella Mejia-DiazMount Vernon · SRFinish 27:41.027:41.029:10.4—

2023 Occoquan Region CC Championship, Nov 2, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.