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Oct 26, 2023 · Fairfax Station, VA

2023 Patriot District CC Championship

Burke Lake 2.98 Mile Course · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2026 · 2024 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

2023 Patriot District Boys CC Championship October 26, 2023 3 Mile Course-Overall Finish List - Boys All Teams O'all

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B

76 of 76 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −32.3 s course and conditions −11.4 s in-season fitness −20.9 sCourse constant 486.86 (487)Race constant 485.09 (485)

73 used anchors± 3.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 73 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 73, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Nayan Kasperowski · South County: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Jibran Hutchins · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  3. 3 James Cicero · West Potomac: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Robert Leonard · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Patrick Gaffney · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Bobby Leone · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Timothy Asady-Kany · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Jack Pritchard · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Josef Gruendel · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Alexander Featherly · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Stephen Wolf · W.T. Woodson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Jonas Yiengst · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Nahom Hailemariam · W.T. Woodson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Kevin Dermody · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Will Thomas · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Cael Alonzo · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Yoryi Roque · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Oleksandr Stryzhak · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Auborn Shepard · Alexandria City: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7)
  20. 20 Bradley Rockefeller · Lake Braddock: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Zain Elcock · W.T. Woodson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Jack Sutton · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Mark Gaydos · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Izrael Diaz · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Bence Fulwiler · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Nelson Lattimer · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14)
  27. 27 Sean Rade · W.T. Woodson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Thatcher Kotuby · Alexandria City: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  29. 29 Edison Dean · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  30. 30 Stefan Allan · West Potomac: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  31. 31 Walker Crochet · Alexandria City: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Charlie Lamb · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Aidan Jones · W.T. Woodson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  34. 34 Sebastian Haworth · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  35. 35 Gavin Smith · West Springfield: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  36. 36 Zachary Paredes · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  37. 37 Thomas Dawson · Lake Braddock: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  38. 38 Colin Miller · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  39. 39 Emmanuel Aregay · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  40. 40 Adam Watterson · West Potomac: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  41. 42 Gavin Shultz · Fairfax: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9) · and 1 more
  42. 43 Michael Lloyd · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  43. 44 Samuel Canel · Alexandria City: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  44. 45 Thomas Agents · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  45. 46 Abdelrahman Abbas · Fairfax: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9) · and 1 more
  46. 47 Aiden Sweezea · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  47. 48 Jackson Rampton · West Springfield: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  48. 49 Josh Kim · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  49. 50 Daniel Watson · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  50. 51 Connor Lanberg · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 76 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Nayan KasperowskiSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 14:52.014:52.015:04.1188.6
2Jibran HutchinsC.G. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 15:10.515:10.515:22.8182.3
3James CiceroWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 15:28.615:28.615:41.2176.2
4Robert LeonardWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 15:39.115:39.115:51.8172.7
5Patrick GaffneyLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 15:54.115:54.116:07.0167.6
6Bobby LeoneLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 16:00.516:00.516:13.5165.4
7Timothy Asady-KanyLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 16:17.416:17.416:30.7159.7
8Jack PritchardWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:18.016:18.016:31.3159.5
9Josef GruendelJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:18.716:18.716:32.0159.3
10Alexander FeatherlySouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 16:19.716:19.716:33.0158.9
11Stephen WolfW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:27.216:27.216:40.6156.4
12Jonas YiengstWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:27.316:27.316:40.7156.4
13Nahom HailemariamW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 16:43.716:43.716:57.3150.8
14Kevin DermodyLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 16:45.016:45.016:58.6150.4
15Will ThomasLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 16:45.116:45.116:58.7150.4
16Cael AlonzoWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:54.616:54.617:08.4147.1
17Yoryi RoqueWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 16:54.616:54.617:08.4147.1
18Oleksandr StryzhakWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 16:55.516:55.517:09.3146.8
19Auborn ShepardAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 17:01.617:01.617:15.5144.8
20Bradley RockefellerLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 17:01.717:01.717:15.6144.8
21Zain ElcockW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:02.017:02.017:15.9144.6
22Jack SuttonWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 17:03.717:03.717:17.6144.1
23Mark GaydosWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:05.317:05.317:19.2143.5
24Izrael DiazSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 17:05.917:05.917:19.8143.3
25Bence FulwilerJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:08.717:08.717:22.6142.4
26Nelson LattimerLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 17:11.117:11.117:25.1141.6
27Sean RadeW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:16.817:16.817:30.9139.6
28Thatcher KotubyAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 17:17.417:17.417:31.5139.4
29Edison DeanWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:21.017:21.017:35.1138.2
30Stefan AllanWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 17:23.217:23.217:37.3137.5
31Walker CrochetAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 17:27.017:27.017:41.2136.2
32Charlie LambWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 17:33.417:33.417:47.7134.0
33Aidan JonesW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:34.017:34.017:48.3133.8
34Sebastian HaworthWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:44.217:44.217:58.6130.4
35Gavin SmithWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:44.417:44.417:58.8130.3
36Zachary ParedesJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:44.417:44.417:58.8130.3
37Thomas DawsonLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 17:46.717:46.718:01.2129.5
38Colin MillerSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 17:49.917:49.918:04.4128.5
39Emmanuel AregayJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 17:52.717:52.718:07.2127.5
40Adam WattersonWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 17:53.817:53.818:08.4127.1
41Myles McDanielFairfax · Grade not recordedFinish 17:54.617:54.618:09.2126.9
42Gavin ShultzFairfax · Grade not recordedFinish 17:56.817:56.818:11.4126.1
43Michael LloydSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 17:58.817:58.818:13.4125.5
44Samuel CanelAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 18:07.318:07.318:22.0122.6
45Thomas AgentsJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 18:07.618:07.618:22.3122.5
46Abdelrahman AbbasFairfax · Grade not recordedFinish 18:09.918:09.918:24.7121.7
47Aiden SweezeaJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 18:11.418:11.418:26.2121.2
48Jackson RamptonWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:12.018:12.018:26.8121.0
49Josh KimSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 18:13.518:13.518:28.3120.5
50Daniel WatsonSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 18:15.918:15.918:30.8119.7
Show all 76 results (26 more)Showing all 76 results · hide rows 51–76
Boys results, rows 51 to 76 of 76
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Connor LanbergJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 18:18.018:18.018:32.9119.0
52Luke WestmorelandWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 18:18.518:18.518:33.4118.8
53Alexander OlsonJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 18:22.118:22.118:37.0117.6
54Aden GonzalezFairfax · Grade not recordedFinish 18:23.118:23.118:38.1117.2
55Sean ClementsAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 18:23.218:23.218:38.2117.2
56Evan ResidoriWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:23.718:23.718:38.7117.0
57Reagan BoyerW.T. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 18:25.218:25.218:40.2116.5
58Seth LiflandC.G. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 18:28.118:28.118:43.1115.6
59Isaac LimaC.G. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 18:35.018:35.018:50.1113.2
60Tyler EngelbrechtSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 18:37.118:37.118:52.2112.5
61Griffin SouthworthAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 18:44.018:44.018:59.2110.2
62Owen KorzakFairfax · Grade not recordedFinish 18:48.318:48.319:03.6108.7
63Ino PuenteWest Springfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:49.118:49.119:04.4108.5
64Parker HendricksonLake Braddock · Grade not recordedFinish 18:59.518:59.519:14.9105.0
65Andreas KolazasFairfax · Grade not recordedFinish 19:00.319:00.319:15.8104.7
66Noah UrchekAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 19:02.719:02.719:18.2103.9
67Noah CollinsJames Robinson · Grade not recordedFinish 19:14.019:14.019:29.6100.1
68David JobC.G. Woodson · Grade not recordedFinish 19:14.119:14.119:29.7100.0
69Alex SchoendorfWest Potomac · Grade not recordedFinish 19:21.819:21.819:37.697.4
70Bryce JironSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 19:27.719:27.719:43.595.4
71Henry MannFairfax · Grade not recordedFinish 19:40.819:40.819:56.891.0
72Austin MitchellFairfax · Grade not recordedFinish 20:06.420:06.420:22.882.3
73Noah SedehiAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 20:37.620:37.620:54.471.8
74Ben TurneyAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 20:50.920:50.921:07.967.3
75John GladeAlexandria City · Grade not recordedFinish 21:00.121:00.121:17.264.2
76Andres VillafuerteSouth County · Grade not recordedFinish 21:17.221:17.221:34.558.4

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Results Girls Three Mile Run

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B

72 of 72 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −41.5 s course and conditions −19.2 s in-season fitness −22.3 sCourse constant 487.36 (487)Race constant 485.49 (485)

70 used anchors± 5.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 70 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 70, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Aidan MacGrath · West Springfield: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Keira Arenholz · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Celia Dawson · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Karina Bird · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Sarah Hymans · C.G. Woodson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Adeline Barker · West Springfield: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · and 5 more
  7. 7 Alexandra Bird · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Ariana Lopez · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Chloe Miller · West Springfield: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Monika Lukas · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Anna Strafford · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Madison Coutinho · James Robinson: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  13. 13 Hadley Vanek · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Kaylee Horner · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Eleanor Wolf · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Grace Wevley · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Milla Cronin · C.G. Woodson: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Molly Weisel · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  19. 19 Lily Westphal · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Reagan Leone · West Springfield: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Sophia Finlan · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Madilyn Lewis · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Zoffia Gonzalez · West Springfield: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7)
  24. 24 Linnea Caldwell · Alexandria City: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Samantha Wierschke · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Emily Morosco · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  27. 27 Addison Mau · West Springfield: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  28. 28 Megan O'Dea · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  29. 29 Makayla Patrick · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  30. 30 Kendall Williams · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  31. 31 Alexi Keyes · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  32. 32 Margaret Kretzer · West Potomac: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  33. 33 Katherine Len · West Springfield: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  34. 34 Claire Aponte · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Charlotte Movsessian · James Robinson: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  36. 36 Alex Coombs · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  37. 37 Olivia Waugh · James Robinson: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Lucy Thomas · Alexandria City: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  39. 39 Virginia Coulby · Alexandria City: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Audrey Bardolf · James Robinson: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  41. 41 Ava Mamienski · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  42. 42 Colette Foley · West Potomac: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  43. 43 Leena Olibah · Fairfax: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  44. 44 Keira Bourkland · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  45. 45 Cameron Crozier · Lake Braddock: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2)
  46. 46 Taylor Kurz · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  47. 47 Kalina Bustamante · Fairfax: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  48. 48 Taylor Pavlak · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Isabelle Garcia · South County: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  50. 50 Tamsin Chapin · Fairfax: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 72 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Aidan MacGrathWest Springfield · SRFinish 17:21.117:21.117:42.7139.9
2Keira ArenholzC.G. Woodson · SOFinish 17:50.317:50.318:12.5130.0
3Celia DawsonC.G. Woodson · SRFinish 18:07.618:07.618:30.1124.1
4Karina BirdJames Robinson · FRFinish 18:09.118:09.118:31.7123.6
5Sarah HymansC.G. Woodson · JRFinish 18:09.218:09.218:31.8123.6
6Adeline BarkerWest Springfield · JRFinish 18:11.118:11.118:33.7122.9
7Alexandra BirdJames Robinson · FRFinish 18:14.518:14.518:37.2121.8
8Ariana LopezJames Robinson · SOFinish 18:29.418:29.418:52.4116.7
9Chloe MillerWest Springfield · SRFinish 18:34.818:34.818:57.9114.9
10Monika LukasC.G. Woodson · SOFinish 18:37.018:37.019:00.2114.1
11Anna StraffordC.G. Woodson · JRFinish 19:14.319:14.319:38.2101.4
12Madison CoutinhoJames Robinson · SOFinish 19:14.319:14.319:38.2101.4
13Hadley VanekC.G. Woodson · FRFinish 19:18.319:18.319:42.3100.1
14Kaylee HornerWest Springfield · JRFinish 19:23.519:23.519:47.698.3
15Eleanor WolfC.G. Woodson · SOFinish 19:24.319:24.319:48.498.0
16Grace WevleyWest Springfield · SRFinish 19:25.219:25.219:49.497.7
17Milla CroninC.G. Woodson · SRFinish 19:33.919:33.919:58.294.8
18Molly WeiselWest Potomac · SRFinish 19:35.219:35.219:59.694.3
19Lily WestphalWest Potomac · JRFinish 19:37.219:37.220:01.693.6
20Reagan LeoneWest Springfield · FRFinish 19:40.219:40.220:04.792.6
21Sophia FinlanLake Braddock · FRFinish 19:51.519:51.520:16.288.8
22Madilyn LewisLake Braddock · JRFinish 19:52.319:52.320:17.088.5
23Zoffia GonzalezWest Springfield · SRFinish 19:53.919:53.920:18.687.9
24Linnea CaldwellAlexandria City · SOFinish 19:59.019:59.020:23.986.2
25Samantha WierschkeJames Robinson · JRFinish 19:59.019:59.020:23.986.2
26Emily MoroscoJames Robinson · SOFinish 20:00.120:00.120:25.085.8
27Addison MauWest Springfield · JRFinish 20:11.920:11.920:37.081.8
28Megan O'DeaWest Potomac · SOFinish 20:14.820:14.820:40.080.8
29Makayla PatrickWest Potomac · JRFinish 20:32.920:32.920:58.574.7
30Kendall WilliamsSouth County · SOFinish 20:33.420:33.420:59.074.5
31Alexi KeyesWest Potomac · SOFinish 20:34.320:34.320:59.974.2
32Margaret KretzerWest Potomac · SRFinish 20:36.220:36.221:01.873.6
33Katherine LenWest Springfield · SRFinish 20:39.120:39.121:04.872.6
34Claire AponteLake Braddock · SOFinish 20:45.920:45.921:11.770.3
35Charlotte MovsessianJames Robinson · SOFinish 20:50.520:50.521:16.468.7
36Alex CoombsSouth County · SOFinish 20:52.720:52.721:18.767.9
37Olivia WaughJames Robinson · SRFinish 20:56.720:56.721:22.766.6
38Lucy ThomasAlexandria City · SRFinish 20:57.920:57.921:24.066.2
39Virginia CoulbyAlexandria City · JRFinish 21:04.621:04.621:30.863.9
40Audrey BardolfJames Robinson · SOFinish 21:10.621:10.621:36.961.8
41Ava MamienskiWest Potomac · SRFinish 21:12.821:12.821:39.261.1
42Colette FoleyWest Potomac · FRFinish 21:16.621:16.621:43.159.8
43Leena OlibahFairfax · JRFinish 21:16.821:16.821:43.359.7
44Keira BourklandLake Braddock · FRFinish 21:21.421:21.421:48.058.2
45Cameron CrozierLake Braddock · SOFinish 21:22.521:22.521:49.157.8
46Taylor KurzSouth County · SRFinish 21:23.521:23.521:50.157.5
47Kalina BustamanteFairfax · JRFinish 21:28.321:28.321:55.055.8
48Taylor PavlakSouth County · SRFinish 21:35.821:35.822:02.753.3
49Isabelle GarciaSouth County · JRFinish 21:43.521:43.522:10.550.7
50Tamsin ChapinFairfax · FRFinish 21:47.321:47.322:14.449.4
Show all 72 results (22 more)Showing all 72 results · hide rows 51–72
Girls results, rows 51 to 72 of 72
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Samantha WiestLake Braddock · SOFinish 21:48.621:48.622:15.748.9
52Ava EllisSouth County · SOFinish 21:53.321:53.322:20.547.3
53Josie CowenWest Potomac · SOFinish 22:01.322:01.322:28.744.6
54Reese PavlakSouth County · SRFinish 22:12.922:12.922:40.540.7
55Chloe AdamsAlexandria City · SOFinish 22:18.322:18.322:46.038.8
56Maya GilbertLake Braddock · JRFinish 22:18.422:18.422:46.138.8
57Angelina SattoriLake Braddock · JRFinish 22:19.522:19.522:47.338.4
58Mary Beck TempleWest Potomac · JRFinish 22:25.922:25.922:53.836.2
59Kate KelleyFairfax · SOFinish 22:29.122:29.122:57.135.1
60Mikaela ScherryLake Braddock · SRFinish 22:39.822:39.823:08.031.5
61Kareena KasperowskiSouth County · SOFinish 22:46.322:46.323:14.629.3
62Norah CurryAlexandria City · JRFinish 23:09.123:09.123:37.921.5
63Riley ParkerSouth County · SOFinish 23:16.923:16.923:45.918.9
64Kaitlyn BailyFairfax · FRFinish 23:45.723:45.724:15.39.1
65Meron SahluFairfax · JRFinish 23:52.823:52.824:22.56.7
66Becca DuhanLake Braddock · JRFinish 23:54.023:54.024:23.76.3
67Elizabeth KotubyAlexandria City · JRFinish 24:03.124:03.124:33.03.2
68Katherine LudkeAlexandria City · JRFinish 24:06.424:06.424:36.42.0
69Madelyn KwongSouth County · SOFinish 24:44.424:44.425:15.2—
70Annike CaldwellAlexandria City · SRFinish 25:54.125:54.126:26.3—
71Maryse AgossouFairfax · SRFinish 26:42.926:42.927:16.1—
72Laela FerrickAlexandria City · SOFinish 27:10.827:10.827:44.6—

2023 Patriot District CC Championship, Oct 26, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.