NOVARUNNERS PROJECTIONS
Third Battle Invitational 2026
Third Battle Invitational, Sat Oct 10, 2026, Winchester. Team standings projected from ratings, with each rating’s basis in view where it rests on a meet.
PROJECTION · UNOFFICIAL
Calculated Oct 6.
A deterministic projection, not a result. Each registered team’s seven highest-rated runners are placed in rating order in one combined field per sex, then scored like a cross-country meet. It predicts no times and gives no probabilities.
Actual results: Third Battle Invitational 2026 results
COVERAGE
Who is rated, and from what.
Each runner’s rating is their 2026 season-best Statistical Rating on the day, the value the team boards use: varsity races only, middle-school runners left out, lower-tier races dropped. A team’s roster is the runners whose rated 2026 races were for that team; there is no 2025 fallback, so a runner without a rated 2026 race is not shown. How on-the-day ratings work
| Coverage | Boys | Girls |
|---|---|---|
| Registered teams | 66 | 66 |
| Rated runners on their rosters | 535 | 438 |
| 2026 rating (one meet · two or more) | 535250 · 285 | 438196 · 242 |
| Teams ranked (five or more rated) | 49 of 66 | 48 of 66 |
| Teams unranked | 17 | 18 |
| Statistical Rating K (2026 scale) | 489.948 | 495.254 |
2026 ratings come from 14 admitted meets: Adidas XC Challenge, Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Great American XC Festival, Ham City Hustle Invitational, Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Oatlands Invitational, Octoberfest Invitational, Pole Green - "The Southern" XC Invite by ECE, Pole Green XC Classic, StallionsXC Invitational, Trials of Miles XC Opening Night presented by New Balance, Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational, VTCA Fall Classic, Wolverine XC Invitational. Ratings are the 2026 v7 season bests as of 2026-10-06; the team list was captured 2026-10-06. The team list does not say boys or girls, so every registered team is in both fields.
TEAM STANDINGS · COMBINED HYPOTHETICAL FIELD
Girls · Third Battle 2026 projection
| Rank | Team | Score | Scoring order | Runners by basis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | West Springfield | 98 | 2-11-22-30-33 (70)(80) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for West Springfield
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 02 | Loudoun Valley | 135 | 9-14-32-34-46 (75)(155) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Loudoun Valley
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 03 | Yorktown | 154 | 4-17-23-50-60 (68)(85) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Yorktown
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 04 | C.G. Woodson | 166 | 5-18-38-51-54 (73)(86) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for C.G. Woodson
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 05 | Lake Braddock | 229 | 29-36-39-43-82 (101)(146) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Lake Braddock
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 06 | Washington-Liberty | 261 | 10-26-64-78-83 (87)(89) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Washington-Liberty
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 07 | Langley | 317 | 15-20-61-105-116 (144)(172) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Langley
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 08 | Patriot | 346 | 31-41-53-67-154 (192)(276) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Patriot
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 09 | McLean | 350 | 3-24-62-110-151 (188)(211) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for McLean
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Spotswood | 358 | 6-13-90-93-156 (178)(264) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Spotswood
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | James Madison | 379 | 44-47-52-115-121 (127)(171) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for James Madison
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Fauquier | 450 | 40-59-71-119-161 (201)(265) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Fauquier
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | Oakton | 458 | 1-91-92-94-180 (194)(209) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Oakton
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | Dominion | 469 | 27-42-97-150-153 (159)(176) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Dominion
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | Millbrook | 469 | 7-63-88-104-207 (218)(222) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Millbrook
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | Westfield | 534 | 19-45-129-168-173 (225)(252) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Westfield
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | Independence | 541 | 8-79-107-160-187 (223)(224) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Independence
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | Colgan | 545 | 58-81-125-134-147 (169)(196) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Colgan
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | Falls Church | 558 | 37-48-96-137-240 (259)(271) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Falls Church
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | George C. Marshall | 572 | 103-109-111-117-132 (140)(164) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for George C. Marshall
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | Thomas Jefferson S&T | 581 | 12-55-143-158-213 (227)(247) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Thomas Jefferson S&T
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | Kettle Run | 606 | 16-100-131-162-197 (202)(242) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Kettle Run
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | Loudoun County | 639 | 21-120-133-157-208 (288)(291) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Loudoun County
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | Lightridge | 646 | 69-124-135-148-170 (205)(230) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Lightridge
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | Clarke County | 651 | 106-126-136-141-142 (145)(280) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Clarke County
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | South County | 664 | 28-65-167-200-204 (263)(275) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for South County
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | Warren County | 679 | 57-95-163-165-199 (236)(327) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Warren County
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | Hayfield Secondary School | 719 | 77-139-152-174-177 (179)(260) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Hayfield Secondary School
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 29 | Tuscarora (VA) | 775 | 49-66-184-214-262 (273)(301) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Tuscarora (VA)
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | Potomac Falls | 829 | 99-108-181-203-238 (250)(296) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Potomac Falls
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | Jefferson (WV) | 837 | 72-102-122-243-298 (303)(304) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Jefferson (WV)
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | Sherando | 843 | 74-123-166-190-290 (302)(307) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Sherando
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | Brentsville District | 890 | 98-112-185-229-266 | 2026: 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 runners for Brentsville District
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | Thomas Edison | 902 | 84-138-191-232-257 (286)(310) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Thomas Edison
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | West Potomac | 904 | 113-118-195-234-244 | 2026: 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 runners for West Potomac
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | Cave Spring | 964 | 76-183-198-226-281 (282)(289) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Cave Spring
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | James Wood | 990 | 149-186-216-219-220 (239)(253) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for James Wood
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | Heritage (Leesburg) | 1024 | 25-215-241-258-285 (315) | 2026: 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 runners for Heritage (Leesburg)
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | Brooke Point | 1112 | 35-175-256-321-325 (330)(331) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Brooke Point
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | Mount Vernon | 1126 | 114-210-233-261-308 (319)(322) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Mount Vernon
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | Stone Bridge | 1145 | 128-221-245-272-279 (309)(311) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Stone Bridge
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | Meridian | 1154 | 193-206-237-249-269 (277)(278) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Meridian
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | Riverside | 1163 | 56-228-292-293-294 (300)(313) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Riverside
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | Hidden Valley | 1194 | 130-189-274-284-317 (320)(329) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Hidden Valley
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | Osbourn Park | 1249 | 231-246-248-254-270 (283)(314) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Osbourn Park
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | Fairfax | 1253 | 212-251-255-267-268 (287)(295) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Fairfax
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | Strasburg | 1317 | 182-217-297-305-316 (323)(328) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Strasburg
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | Liberty (Bealeton) | 1470 | 235-299-306-312-318 (324)(326) | 2026: 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 runners for Liberty (Bealeton)
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A score adds the first five team places. Team places count only runners on ranked teams, so they can be lower than the overall rating order. Tied scores are broken by the sixth runner’s place, and a team with a sixth runner ranks ahead of one without.
TOP INDIVIDUALS · RATING ORDER · NOT A FINISH PREDICTION
Girls · top 100 rated runners
| Order | Runner / team | Statistical Rating | Rating basis | Team status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Abigail MesfinOakton | 151.1 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 02 | Allie HornerWest Springfield | 145.2 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 03 | Jaidyn BudayMcLean | 142.6 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 04 | Molly HardwickYorktown | 134.7 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 05 | Annie PrzydzialC.G. Woodson | 129.3 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 06 | Peyton JoynerSpotswood | 119.6 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 07 | Kennedy CombsMillbrook | 118.0 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 08 | Allie GonzalezIndependence | 114.5 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 09 | Evelyn O'RourkeLoudoun Valley | 114.3 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 10 | Susanna RichardWashington-Liberty | 113.9 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 11 | Anna JohnsonWest Springfield | 113.8 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 12 | Sita LamartinThomas Jefferson S&T | 113.5 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 13 | Hayley ManciniSpotswood | 111.5 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 14 | Harper BartlettLoudoun Valley | 110.8 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 15 | Abigail PickardLangley | 109.2 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 16 | Chloe Von HerbulisKettle Run | 107.5 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 17 | Ayla MehmoodYorktown | 106.4 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 18 | Jacklyn GillandersC.G. Woodson | 105.4 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 19 | Brianna PritchardWestfield | 104.0 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 20 | Raina WittrockLangley | 103.2 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 21 | Fallon FetterolfLoudoun County | 102.8 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 22 | Caitlin FisherWest Springfield | 101.4 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 23 | Ali MathewsYorktown | 101.4 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 24 | Sydney WalkerMcLean | 98.9 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 25 | Sophia PriceHeritage (Leesburg) | 96.3 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
Show all 100 (75 more)Showing all 100 · show fewer
| Order | Runner / team | Statistical Rating | Rating basis | Team status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Allison ErvinWashington-Liberty | 96.1 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 27 | Caroline TaylorDominion | 95.9 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 28 | Ariana MatherSouth County | 95.9 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 29 | Addy FinlanLake Braddock | 95.5 | 2026 · 4 meets | In team’s seven |
| 30 | Zoie CollinsWest Springfield | 94.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 31 | Aadina IbrahimiPatriot | 94.2 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 32 | Lucy PoppLoudoun Valley | 93.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 33 | Olivia CollinsWest Springfield | 93.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 34 | Anna Ruth LovornLoudoun Valley | 93.3 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 35 | Rochelle GaryBrooke Point | 93.2 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 36 | Nyla CulverLake Braddock | 93.1 | 2026 · 4 meets | In team’s seven |
| 37 | Maxine BerensFalls Church | 93.0 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 38 | Violet ConklinC.G. Woodson | 92.3 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 39 | Sophia FinlanLake Braddock | 91.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 40 | Natalie VernaFauquier | 91.2 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 41 | Rachel FillmorePatriot | 91.0 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 42 | Claire SemlerDominion | 89.7 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 43 | Abigail HogsettLake Braddock | 88.0 | 2026 · 4 meets | In team’s seven |
| 44 | Allison KroghJames Madison | 87.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 45 | Audrey GaryWestfield | 87.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 46 | Desiree MansoJohn R. Lewis | 87.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | Team unranked (fewer than five rated) |
| 47 | Aaliyah AbdooLoudoun Valley | 87.3 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 48 | Magnolia ZensJames Madison | 87.1 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 49 | Tessa ClarkFalls Church | 86.9 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 50 | Avery CaskeyTuscarora (VA) | 85.5 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 51 | Sofia RosalesYorktown | 85.2 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 52 | Carleigh DevlinC.G. Woodson | 85.0 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 53 | Sophia VassilakosJames Madison | 83.9 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 54 | Kaleigh PodkowkaPatriot | 83.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 55 | Zoe SawtelleC.G. Woodson | 83.3 | 2026 · 4 meets | In team’s seven |
| 56 | Micaela BodianThomas Jefferson S&T | 83.3 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 57 | Sydney FoleyRiverside | 83.1 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 58 | Gretchen GassWarren County | 82.8 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 59 | Emily WigginsColgan | 82.5 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 60 | Gracie Gibson-HanesFauquier | 81.9 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 61 | Cecilia FloomYorktown | 81.8 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 62 | Elsa BackmanLangley | 79.9 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 63 | Sarah ThomasMcLean | 79.8 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 64 | Adilyn SteinmetzMillbrook | 79.7 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 65 | Caroline (Callie) KaplanWashington-Liberty | 79.2 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 66 | Aniston CasneSouth County | 79.0 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 67 | Christabel Agyeman-DuahTuscarora (VA) | 78.7 | 2026 · 4 meets | In team’s seven |
| 68 | Sienna DoudsPatriot | 78.6 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 69 | Aria HedderlyYorktown | 78.5 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 70 | Caroline SegerstenLightridge | 78.3 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 71 | Amelia BishopWest Springfield | 78.2 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 72 | Savannah SeidelFauquier | 78.1 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 73 | Elizabeth RiordanJefferson (WV) | 78.0 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 74 | Charlotte ConklinC.G. Woodson | 77.7 | 2026 · 4 meets | In team’s seven |
| 75 | Mia AdamsSherando | 77.5 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 76 | Catalina NemesLoudoun Valley | 76.8 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 77 | Ruby BillsCave Spring | 76.4 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 78 | Elena GarciaHayfield Secondary School | 76.2 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 79 | Hannah BelleroseWashington-Liberty | 76.0 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 80 | Mya FruzzettiIndependence | 75.4 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 81 | Audrey YiengstWest Springfield | 75.1 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 82 | Charlotte SchotterColgan | 74.8 | 2026 · 3 meets | In team’s seven |
| 83 | Kylie GriffithLake Braddock | 74.8 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 84 | Sophia CollinsWashington-Liberty | 74.7 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 85 | Adelyn HarringtonThomas Edison | 74.6 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 86 | Keeley GardnerYorktown | 72.7 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 87 | Marie SohlbergC.G. Woodson | 72.6 | 2026 · 4 meets | In team’s seven |
| 88 | Maddie BrysWashington-Liberty | 72.5 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 89 | Marisol LaraMillbrook | 72.1 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 90 | Eva Von MertensWashington-Liberty | 71.8 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 91 | Anna LoweSpotswood | 71.6 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 92 | Isabelle DaviesHerndon | 71.6 | 2026 · 2 meets | Team unranked (fewer than five rated) |
| 93 | Sarah VaranoOakton | 71.6 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 94 | Monica UribeOakton | 71.5 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 95 | Marykate MillerSpotswood | 71.1 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 96 | Alisha DesaiOakton | 70.6 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
| 97 | Cara GassWarren County | 69.1 | 2026 · 1 meet | In team’s seven |
| 98 | Itala FoschiCentreville | 69.0 | 2026 · 1 meet | Team unranked (fewer than five rated) |
| 99 | Anna TaylorC.G. Woodson | 69.0 | 2026 · 1 meet | Outside team’s seven |
| 100 | Anna StatzFalls Church | 68.9 | 2026 · 2 meets | In team’s seven |
Order is by Statistical Rating among rated runners in this projection’s field, including runners on unranked teams. The coverage notes describe the field. Runners with the same shown rating stay in unrounded order.
UNRANKED TEAMS · GIRLS
18 teams with fewer than five rated runners
Unranked means not scored, not last. Their rated runners still appear in the individual order.
- Centreville4 rated
- Herndon4 rated
- Manassas Park4 rated
- John R. Lewis3 rated
- Admiral Richard E. Byrd Middle S0 rated
- Culpeper County0 rated
- Daniel Morgan Middle School0 rated
- Eukarya Christian Academy0 rated
- Frederick County Middle School0 rated
- James Wood Middle School0 rated
- John Champe0 rated
- Johnson-Williams Middle School0 rated
- Legacy Christian Academy MS0 rated
- Park View (Sterling)0 rated
- Powhatan School MS0 rated
- Robert E. Aylor Middle School0 rated
- Rock Ridge0 rated
- Skyline0 rated
READ BEFORE USING
What this projection is not.
- A combined hypothetical field per sex. Registration does not say who runs Varsity A, B or JV, so each registered team’s rated runners are placed in one field. This is not an official division result.
- Registered teams are not entry lists. A roster here is the team’s runners with a rated 2026 race for it; its seven highest-rated may not be the seven who run, and new or unrated runners are not shown.
- Points are not predicted times. A Statistical Rating puts every course on one yardstick; it is not a predicted time, and not a Third Battle course time.
- No probabilities. Nothing here is a chance of winning, a margin or an interval.
- Gaps stay gaps. Unrated runners and incomplete teams are missing evidence, not predictions of a slow or last-place finish.