NOVARUNNERS PROJECTIONS

Albemarle Invitational 2026

Albemarle Invitational, Sat Oct 10, 2026, Earlysville. Team standings projected from ratings, with each rating’s basis in view where it rests on a meet.

PROJECTION · UNOFFICIAL

Calculated Oct 7.

A deterministic projection, not a result. Each entered team’s seven highest-rated runners are placed in rating order in one combined field per sex, then scored like a cross-country meet. It predicts no times and gives no probabilities.

Actual results: Albemarle Invitational 2026 results

COVERAGE

Who is rated, and from what.

Each runner’s rating is their 2026 season-best Statistical Rating on the day, the value the team boards use: varsity races only, middle-school runners left out, lower-tier races dropped. Each entrant is matched to that rating by athlete ID; there is no 2025 fallback, so an entrant without a rated 2026 race is counted but not listed. How on-the-day ratings work

Albemarle 2026 entrants, rated runners and ranked teams, by sex
Coverage	Boys	Girls
Entrants	732	486
Rated	342	214
2026 rating (one meet · two or more)	342221 · 121	214113 · 101
Teams ranked (five or more rated)	32 of 35	26 of 34
Teams unranked	3	8
Statistical Rating K (2026 scale)	489.948	495.254

2026 ratings come from 14 admitted meets: Adidas XC Challenge, Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Great American XC Festival, Ham City Hustle Invitational, Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Oatlands Invitational, Octoberfest Invitational, Pole Green - "The Southern" XC Invite by ECE, Pole Green XC Classic, StallionsXC Invitational, Trials of Miles XC Opening Night presented by New Balance, Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational, VTCA Fall Classic, Wolverine XC Invitational. Ratings are the 2026 v7 season bests as of 2026-10-06; the entry list was captured 2026-10-07. The field is the entries of High School Boys 5000 Meter Run (boys) and High School Girls 5000 Meter Run (girls). Entrants without a rated 2026 race on the board rules are counted but not listed: 390 boys and 272 girls.

TEAM STANDINGS · COMBINED HYPOTHETICAL FIELD

Girls · Albemarle 2026 projection

Scoring order in timing-sheet notation: the first five places add up to the score; the sixth and seventh, in parentheses, can displace other teams’ runners.Lower score is better

Rank

Team

Score

Scoring order

Runners by basis

Charlottesville

5-9-10-11-34 (72)(87)

2026: 7

7 runners

Charlottesville: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
5	Juliana Pierce	121.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
9	Catherine Crook	107.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
10	Phoebe Fischman	106.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
11	Liliana Jones	104.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19
34	Lula Jacobs	81.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
(72)	Hazel Semmelhack	59.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19 · also Oatlands Invitational
(87)	Jane Friesen	50.5	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational

Glen Allen

105

3-6-12-37-47 (48)(53)

2026: 7

7 runners

Glen Allen: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
3	Emma Stein	130.3	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
6	Avery Carlson	117.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
12	Makenna Pardue	100.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
37	Finley Beike	78.3	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
47	Katherine Arjona	71.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12 · also Oatlands Invitational
(48)	Izzy Stefanova	71.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12 · also Oatlands Invitational
(53)	Adalyn Altman	69.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic

Albemarle

113

7-16-20-32-38 (76)(78)

2026: 7

7 runners

Albemarle: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
7	Pia Peterson	112.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
16	McKinley Coleman	92.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
20	Carys Murray	89.3	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
32	Abigail Wilkinson	81.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
38	Brooke Sims	78.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
(76)	Nora Mauney	57.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19 · also Oatlands Invitational
(78)	Elyse Scanlon	56.4	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational

Midlothian

137

4-17-28-36-52 (56)(63)

2026: 7

7 runners

Midlothian: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
4	Briella Ansell	124.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
17	Charlotte Bazemore	90.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
28	Gwendolyn Gardner	85.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
36	Whitley Harwood	80.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
52	Chandler Duerbeck	69.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
(56)	Riley Harwood	67.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
(63)	Camila Flakas	63.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26

Turner Ashby

179

22-30-40-41-46 (66)(89)

2026: 7

7 runners

Turner Ashby: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
22	Ella Strite	88.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
30	Emmy Douglas	84.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
40	Molly Hylton	77.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
41	Madelyn Hylton	76.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
46	Raleigh Hartman	72.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
(66)	Catherine Hinegardner	61.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
(89)	Reece Kiracofe	49.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12

Battlefield

271

26-45-51-67-82 (95)(110)

2026: 7

7 runners

Battlefield: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
26	Alicia Salous	86.4	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19 · also Oatlands Invitational
45	Lydia Bauer	73.4	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Wolverine XC Invitational
51	Juliet Croslin	69.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Wolverine XC Invitational
67	Lauren Forrest	61.7	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19 · also Oatlands Invitational
82	Hailey Sosinski	55.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Wolverine XC Invitational
(95)	Kaitlyn Trainer	43.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Wolverine XC Invitational
(110)	Layla Lebling	26.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19

Saint Catherine's

276

23-35-50-55-113 (120)(123)

2026: 7

7 runners

Saint Catherine's: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
23	Sophie Hudson	88.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19 · also Pole Green XC Classic
35	Ella Farmer	80.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19 · also Pole Green XC Classic
50	Olivia Killeen	69.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19 · also Pole Green XC Classic
55	Piper Clemons	67.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
113	Elizabeth Thurmond	24.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
(120)	Hannah Lipscomb	19.3	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19 · also Pole Green XC Classic
(123)	Gabrielle Thombs	16.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational

William Monroe

298

1-27-69-84-117 (169)

2026: 6

6 runners

William Monroe: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
1	Samantha Nitzsche	145.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
27	Elizabeth Kelpe	85.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
69	Madeline Harp	60.3	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
84	Reese Van Hoose	52.7	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Fork Union Cross Country Invitational
117	Daisy Kilby	21.7	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19 · also Oatlands Invitational
(169)	Febe Castro	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19

Western Albemarle

316

21-31-64-91-109 (116)

2026: 6

6 runners

Western Albemarle: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
21	Arbour Cole	89.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26
31	Zoey Downer	84.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26
64	Daisy McCown	63.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26
91	Olivia Smith	49.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26
109	Sarah Jane Broadbent	27.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26
(116)	Ruby Carlson	21.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26

Grassfield

326

44-58-73-74-77 (86)(126)

2026: 7

7 runners

Grassfield: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
44	Natalie Dye	73.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
58	Grace Casey	66.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
73	Alexandria Toro	59.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
74	Elyn Akins	58.3	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
77	Sara Corbin	57.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
(86)	Kaitlyn Lonsdale	51.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
(126)	Cera Vick	10.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12

Mountain View

336

8-33-96-98-101 (104)(108)

2026: 7

7 runners

Mountain View: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
8	Lauren Uhle	107.4	2026 · 2 meets	Best: StallionsXC Invitational, Sep 12 · also Oatlands Invitational
33	Emily Wilson	81.3	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also StallionsXC Invitational
96	Sophia Hubbard	41.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: StallionsXC Invitational, Sep 12 · also Oatlands Invitational
98	Brooke Dietz	37.4	2026 · 3 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also StallionsXC Invitational, Oatlands Invitational
101	Addison Kirchgessner	32.6	2026 · 3 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also StallionsXC Invitational, Oatlands Invitational
(104)	Gracie Gillespie	31.0	2026 · 3 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also StallionsXC Invitational, Oatlands Invitational
(108)	Isabella Lanza	27.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26

Saint John Paul the Great Cathol

346

18-25-61-115-127 (129)(132)

2026: 7

7 runners

Saint John Paul the Great Cathol: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
18	Alyssa McCoppin	89.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3
25	Tegan Bechtel	87.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: StallionsXC Invitational, Sep 12 · also Great American XC Festival
61	Victoria Barton	63.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also StallionsXC Invitational
115	Elizabeth Marcy	22.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3
127	Anna Prabaharan	9.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also StallionsXC Invitational
(129)	Emilia Buie	8.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3
(132)	Eilish Jameson	7.4	2026 · 2 meets	Best: StallionsXC Invitational, Sep 12 · also Great American XC Festival

J.R. Tucker

356

39-43-68-100-106 (135)(144)

2026: 7

7 runners

J.R. Tucker: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
39	Reese Pearson	78.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Pole Green XC Classic
43	Evie Maddux	73.7	2026 · 3 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Pole Green XC Classic, Oatlands Invitational
68	Elizabeth Akers	60.5	2026 · 3 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Pole Green XC Classic, Oatlands Invitational
100	Sophia Martínez-Moreno	35.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Octoberfest Invitational
106	Emerson Greer	29.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12 · also Oatlands Invitational
(135)	Addy Duncan	4.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Pole Green - "The Southern" XC Invite by ECE
(144)	Ella Raschke	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Pole Green - "The Southern" XC Invite by ECE

Stafford

364

54-57-59-83-111 (112)(122)

2026: 7

7 runners

Stafford: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
54	Carmen McCann	68.4	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
57	Addison Van Arsdale	67.3	2026 · 3 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Pole Green XC Classic, Oatlands Invitational
59	Cecilia Khatcheressian	65.2	2026 · 3 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic, Octoberfest Invitational
83	Riley Springston	54.4	2026 · 3 meets	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12 · also Oatlands Invitational, Octoberfest Invitational
111	Sierra Poorbaugh	25.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3
(112)	Hannah Freeman	24.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Oatlands Invitational
(122)	Adriana Castro	18.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12 · also Oatlands Invitational

Trinity Christian School

368

13-80-90-92-93 (166)(167)

2026: 7

7 runners

Trinity Christian School: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
13	Taylor Van Raaphorst	99.2	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19
80	Anna Chronister	56.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19 · also Octoberfest Invitational
90	Caitlyn Noel	49.5	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Wolverine XC Invitational
92	Aubrey Hessen	48.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Wolverine XC Invitational
93	Eliana Jang	46.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19 · also Octoberfest Invitational
(166)	Hadley Noel	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Wolverine XC Invitational
(167)	Eloise Schlieter	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3

Douglas Freeman

393

19-24-103-119-128 (157)

2026: 6

6 runners

Douglas Freeman: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
19	Elena Atchison	89.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green - "The Southern" XC Invite by ECE, Sep 26
24	Alanna Gagen	88.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green - "The Southern" XC Invite by ECE, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
103	Pari Bhura	31.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational, Sep 19 · also Pole Green XC Classic
119	Sofia Moore	21.4	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green - "The Southern" XC Invite by ECE, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
128	Allie Johnson	9.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
(157)	Harper Kramer	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12

Louisa County

419

14-60-105-107-133 (138)(160)

2026: 7

7 runners

Louisa County: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
14	Isabella Aguillon	94.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
60	Lily Gadd	63.6	2026 · 2 meets	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
105	Dakota Gatton	30.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
107	Abigail Reutinger	28.7	2026 · 2 meets	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
133	Caylee Synder-Morris	7.2	2026 · 2 meets	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
(138)	Allyson Reutinger	2.7	2026 · 2 meets	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
(160)	Crista Bolvito-deleon	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 26

Forest Park

427

42-62-85-99-139 (140)(156)

2026: 7

7 runners

Forest Park: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
42	Eden Cameron	74.3	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19 · also Trials of Miles XC Opening Night presented by New Balance
62	Kimberly Martinez	63.5	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Wolverine XC Invitational
85	Emma Wells	52.5	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19 · also Octoberfest Invitational
99	Kaitlyn Barnes	36.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19
139	Olivia Gonzales	0.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3
(140)	Violet Villareale	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Wolverine XC Invitational, Sep 19
(156)	Annabelle Giron	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Octoberfest Invitational, Oct 3 · also Wolverine XC Invitational

Harrisonburg

429

2-65-97-118-147 (172)

2026: 6

6 runners

Harrisonburg: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
2	Brooke Saunders	135.8	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
65	Ellie Showalter	62.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
97	Adele Reid	38.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
118	McKayla Boggs	21.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
147	Katie Witmer	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
(172)	Karina Nyemchenko	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12

Cosby

458

29-49-81-149-150 (158)

2026: 6

6 runners

Cosby: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
29	Audrey Martin	84.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12 · also Oatlands Invitational
49	Cameron Morgan	70.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
81	Julia Filipek	55.9	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
149	Katherine Treptow	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
150	Amelia Silewicz	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
(158)	Grace Beltran	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12

Monticello

521

15-94-102-151-159 (170)(173)

2026: 7

7 runners

Monticello: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
15	Caitlin Springett	93.7	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also Knights Crossing XC Invitational
94	Whitney Waller	44.5	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12 · also Great American XC Festival
102	Lily Sexton	32.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also Knights Crossing XC Invitational
151	Daphne Strumlauf	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
159	Audrey Buller	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12 · also Great American XC Festival
(170)	Emily Marshall	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
(173)	Rayanne Bauknecht	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also Knights Crossing XC Invitational

Riverbend

561

70-75-130-141-145 (148)(154)

2026: 7

7 runners

Riverbend: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
70	Ashleigh Menzenwerth	60.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
75	Madeline Howell	58.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
130	Emily Menzenwerth	8.5	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
141	Layla Frappier	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
145	Ada Alberti	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
(148)	Cora Boetig	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
(154)	Stella Frye	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12

James River (Midlothian)

600

71-88-134-142-165 (174)

2026: 6

6 runners

James River (Midlothian): the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
71	Finley Jeremiah	59.9	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also Oatlands Invitational
88	Victoria Nowak	50.1	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also Oatlands Invitational
134	Eva Smith	5.0	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3 · also Oatlands Invitational
142	Lucy Williamson	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Great American XC Festival
165	Luyando Nzombola	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Great American XC Festival, Oct 3
(174)	Ellie Sykes	—	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Great American XC Festival

King George

655

114-121-131-136-153 (161)(162)

2026: 7

7 runners

King George: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
114	Eliana Tweedle	23.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
121	Angela Turner	18.7	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
131	Makenzie Tregoning	7.8	2026 · 2 meets	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26 · also Pole Green XC Classic
136	Brelyn Haga	3.4	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
153	Camryn Luffman	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Oatlands Invitational, Sep 26
(161)	Virginia Gentili	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12
(162)	Carley DeSantis	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Pole Green XC Classic, Sep 12

Grace Christian School (S)

664

79-125-143-146-171

2026: 5

5 runners

Grace Christian School (S): the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
79	Hailey Johnson	56.0	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
125	Emery Murdock	11.6	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
143	Evie Hobbs	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
146	Eden Murdock	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
171	Claire Burkholder	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12

Broadway

731

124-137-152-155-163 (164)(168)

2026: 7

7 runners

Broadway: the seven highest-rated entrants, in rating order, with team-scoring places
Team place	Runner	Stat. rating	Basis	Evidence
124	Helen Holsinger	16.7	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
137	Sophia Steinbach	3.1	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
152	Julia Hart	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
155	Jadyn Keagy	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
163	Limaya Ali	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
(164)	Brooklyn Layman	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12
(168)	Matea Wenger	—	2026 · 1 meet	Best: Knights Crossing XC Invitational, Sep 12

A score adds the first five team places. Team places count only runners on ranked teams, so they can be lower than the overall rating order. Tied scores are broken by the sixth runner’s place, and a team with a sixth runner ranks ahead of one without.

TOP INDIVIDUALS · RATING ORDER · NOT A FINISH PREDICTION

Girls · top 100 rated entrants

Girls top rated entrants, 1 to 25
Order	Runner / team	Statistical Rating	Rating basis	Team status
01	Samantha NitzscheWilliam Monroe	145.9	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
02	Brooke SaundersHarrisonburg	135.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
03	Emma SteinGlen Allen	130.3	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
04	Briella AnsellMidlothian	124.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
05	Juliana PierceCharlottesville	121.9	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
06	Avery CarlsonGlen Allen	117.2	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
07	Pia PetersonAlbemarle	112.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
08	Lauren UhleMountain View	107.4	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
09	Catherine CrookCharlottesville	107.2	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
10	Phoebe FischmanCharlottesville	106.9	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
11	Liliana JonesCharlottesville	104.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
12	Makenna PardueGlen Allen	100.8	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
13	Taylor Van RaaphorstTrinity Christian School	99.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
14	Isabella AguillonLouisa County	94.8	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
15	Caitlin SpringettMonticello	93.7	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
16	McKinley ColemanAlbemarle	92.0	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
17	Charlotte BazemoreMidlothian	90.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
18	Alyssa McCoppinSaint John Paul the Great Cathol	89.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
19	Elena AtchisonDouglas Freeman	89.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
20	Carys MurrayAlbemarle	89.3	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
21	Arbour ColeWestern Albemarle	89.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
22	Ella StriteTurner Ashby	88.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
23	Sophie HudsonSaint Catherine's	88.2	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
24	Alanna GagenDouglas Freeman	88.0	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
25	Tegan BechtelSaint John Paul the Great Cathol	87.2	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven

Show all 100 (75 more)Showing all 100 · show fewer

Girls top rated entrants, 26 to 100
Order	Runner / team	Statistical Rating	Rating basis	Team status
26	Alicia SalousBattlefield	86.4	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
27	Elizabeth KelpeWilliam Monroe	85.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
28	Gwendolyn GardnerMidlothian	85.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
29	Audrey MartinCosby	84.9	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
30	Emmy DouglasTurner Ashby	84.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
31	Zoey DownerWestern Albemarle	84.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
32	Abigail WilkinsonAlbemarle	81.4	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
33	Emily WilsonMountain View	81.3	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
34	Lula JacobsCharlottesville	81.1	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
35	Ella FarmerSaint Catherine's	80.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
36	Whitley HarwoodMidlothian	80.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
37	Madelyn McMichenPowhatan	79.9	2026 · 1 meet	Team unranked (fewer than five rated)
38	Finley BeikeGlen Allen	78.3	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
39	Brooke SimsAlbemarle	78.2	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
40	Reese PearsonJ.R. Tucker	78.1	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
41	Molly HyltonTurner Ashby	77.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
42	Madelyn HyltonTurner Ashby	76.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
43	Riley LongGainesville	76.6	2026 · 1 meet	Team unranked (fewer than five rated)
44	Eden CameronForest Park	74.3	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
45	Evie MadduxJ.R. Tucker	73.7	2026 · 3 meets	In team’s seven
46	Natalie DyeGrassfield	73.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
47	Lydia BauerBattlefield	73.4	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
48	Raleigh HartmanTurner Ashby	72.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
49	Katherine ArjonaGlen Allen	71.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
50	Izzy StefanovaGlen Allen	71.2	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
51	Cameron MorganCosby	70.1	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
52	Olivia KilleenSaint Catherine's	69.9	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
53	Juliet CroslinBattlefield	69.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
54	Chandler DuerbeckMidlothian	69.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
55	Adalyn AltmanGlen Allen	69.0	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
56	Carmen McCannStafford	68.4	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
57	Piper ClemonsSaint Catherine's	67.9	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
58	Riley HarwoodMidlothian	67.6	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
59	Addison Van ArsdaleStafford	67.3	2026 · 3 meets	In team’s seven
60	Grace CaseyGrassfield	66.1	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
61	Cecilia KhatcheressianStafford	65.2	2026 · 3 meets	In team’s seven
62	Khloe MarciaHartwood	64.3	2026 · 2 meets	Team unranked (fewer than five rated)
63	Lily GaddLouisa County	63.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
64	Victoria BartonSaint John Paul the Great Cathol	63.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
65	Kimberly MartinezForest Park	63.5	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
66	Camila FlakasMidlothian	63.5	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
67	Daisy McCownWestern Albemarle	63.2	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
68	Ellie ShowalterHarrisonburg	62.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
69	Catherine HinegardnerTurner Ashby	61.7	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
70	Lauren ForrestBattlefield	61.7	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
71	Elizabeth AkersJ.R. Tucker	60.5	2026 · 3 meets	In team’s seven
72	Madeline HarpWilliam Monroe	60.3	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
73	Ashleigh MenzenwerthRiverbend	60.1	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
74	Finley JeremiahJames River (Midlothian)	59.9	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
75	Hazel SemmelhackCharlottesville	59.8	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
76	Alexandria ToroGrassfield	59.5	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
77	Elyn AkinsGrassfield	58.3	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
78	Madeline HowellRiverbend	58.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
79	Nora MauneyAlbemarle	57.1	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
80	Sara CorbinGrassfield	57.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
81	Elyse ScanlonAlbemarle	56.4	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
82	Hailey JohnsonGrace Christian School (S)	56.0	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
83	Anna ChronisterTrinity Christian School	56.0	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
84	Julia FilipekCosby	55.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
85	Hailey SosinskiBattlefield	55.8	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
86	Riley SpringstonStafford	54.4	2026 · 3 meets	In team’s seven
87	Reese Van HooseWilliam Monroe	52.7	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
88	Emma WellsForest Park	52.5	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
89	Kaitlyn LonsdaleGrassfield	51.9	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
90	Jane FriesenCharlottesville	50.5	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
91	Victoria NowakJames River (Midlothian)	50.1	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
92	Reece KiracofeTurner Ashby	49.8	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
93	Caitlyn NoelTrinity Christian School	49.5	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
94	Olivia SmithWestern Albemarle	49.5	2026 · 1 meet	In team’s seven
95	Caris GarciaCharlottesville	49.4	2026 · 1 meet	Outside team’s seven
96	Aubrey HessenTrinity Christian School	48.9	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
97	Eliana JangTrinity Christian School	46.1	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
98	Ava JacksonPowhatan	45.9	2026 · 1 meet	Team unranked (fewer than five rated)
99	Whitney WallerMonticello	44.5	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven
100	Kaitlyn TrainerBattlefield	43.6	2026 · 2 meets	In team’s seven

Order is by Statistical Rating among all rated entrants, including runners on unranked teams. Runners with the same shown rating stay in unrounded order.

UNRANKED TEAMS · GIRLS

8 teams with fewer than five rated entrants

Unranked means not scored, not last. Their rated runners still appear in the individual order.

Gainesville4 of 15 rated
Powhatan4 of 8 rated
Rappahannock County2 of 2 rated
Hartwood1 of 7 rated
Freedom (South Riding)0 of 45 rated
Hickory0 of 8 rated
Norfolk Academy0 of 15 rated
North Stafford0 of 3 rated

READ BEFORE USING

What this projection is not.

A combined hypothetical field per sex. Every entrant of the races in the field is placed in one combined field per sex; the coverage notes name those races. This is not an official division result.
Entries are not starters. A team’s seven highest-rated entrants may not be the seven who run.
Points are not predicted times. A Statistical Rating puts every course on one yardstick; it is not a predicted time, and not an Albemarle course time.
No probabilities. Nothing here is a chance of winning, a margin or an interval.
Gaps stay gaps. Unrated runners and incomplete teams are missing evidence, not predictions of a slow or last-place finish.