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Oct 22, 2025 · Fort Blackmore, VA

cumberland district championship 2025

Natural Tunnel State Park · Historical 2025 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 7 held-out meets, 2025's ratings sit a median of 6.0 points (boys) and 8.6 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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C

23 of 23 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +96.1 s course and conditions +123.0 s in-season fitness −26.8 sCourse constant 526.29 (526)Race constant 529.87 (530)

23 used anchors± 7.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.570Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 23 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 23, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Parker King · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Ty Hood · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Jacob Bush · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Colten Johnson · Twin Springs: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 6 more
  5. 5 Brandon Edwards · Eastside: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  6. 6 Koletyn Keith · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Isac Cooper · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Jason Correa · Eastside: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  9. 9 Ayden Mullins · Twin Springs: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 5 more
  10. 10 Jake Osborne · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Landon Fleming · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Carter McLain · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Bryce Swisher · Twin Springs: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 5 more
  14. 14 Mason Mullins · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  15. 15 Joseph Skeen · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Chandler Quillen · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Payton Welch · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 17) · and 3 more
  18. 18 William Rogers · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 3 more
  19. 19 Jared Glovier · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  20. 20 Chasten Richardson · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 17) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Griffen Taylor · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Landon Rakes · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 17) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Cam Stidham · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 17) · and 2 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 23 of 23 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Parker KingCastlewood · JRFinish 19:06.319:06.317:26.7140.7
2Ty HoodRye Cove · FRFinish 19:29.519:29.517:47.9133.6
3Jacob BushCastlewood · SRFinish 19:46.219:46.218:03.1128.5
4Colten JohnsonTwin Springs · JRFinish 20:22.520:22.518:36.2117.5
5Brandon EdwardsEastside · JRFinish 20:42.820:42.818:54.8111.3
6Koletyn KeithCastlewood · SOFinish 21:07.921:07.919:17.8103.6
7Isac CooperCastlewood · FRFinish 21:11.721:11.719:21.2102.5
8Jason CorreaEastside · JRFinish 21:15.621:15.619:24.8101.3
9Ayden MullinsTwin Springs · FRFinish 22:39.322:39.320:41.275.8
10Jake OsborneRye Cove · SOFinish 22:43.622:43.620:45.174.5
11Landon FlemingJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 22:48.722:48.720:49.873.0
12Carter McLainRye Cove · SRFinish 23:11.523:11.521:10.666.1
13Bryce SwisherTwin Springs · JRFinish 23:17.823:17.821:16.364.1
14Mason MullinsCastlewood · SRFinish 23:45.823:45.821:41.955.6
15Joseph SkeenCastlewood · SOFinish 25:03.625:03.622:53.031.9
16Chandler QuillenRye Cove · SOFinish 25:21.225:21.223:09.026.6
17Payton WelchJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 26:09.326:09.323:52.911.9
18William RogersRye Cove · FRFinish 26:12.426:12.423:55.811.0
19Jared GlovierCastlewood · SRFinish 26:57.026:57.024:36.5—
20Chasten RichardsonJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 27:13.627:13.624:51.7—
21Griffen TaylorRye Cove · FRFinish 27:30.227:30.225:06.8—
22Landon RakesJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 29:13.229:13.226:40.9—
23Cam StidhamJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 43:48.843:48.840:00.4—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

20 of 20 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +137.9 s course and conditions +166.2 s in-season fitness −28.3 sCourse constant 554.87 (555)Race constant 559.70 (560)

20 used anchors± 8.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.915Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 20 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 20, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Shelby Stanley · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Amelia Lewis · Thomas Walker: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  3. 3 Allie Salyer · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Katie Williams · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Hannah Mays · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  6. 6 Hailey Mays · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  7. 7 Leah Harvey · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  8. 8 Quila Greear · Twin Springs: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Ava Stough · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Loxleigh Hood · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  11. 11 Anya Mullins · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  12. 12 Molly Rose · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 6 more
  13. 13 Adsila Ndiaye · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 6 more
  14. 14 Lindsey Harvey · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  15. 15 Mary Wood · Eastside: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 15) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Isabel Sawyers · Eastside: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · Bristol Cross (Sep 27) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Kaylee Funk · Eastside: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 15) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Emily Roberts · Eastside: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 2) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Haleigh Short · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  20. 20 Megyn Duff · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 1D Championship (Oct 29) · and 5 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 20 of 20 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Shelby StanleyEastside · SRFinish 22:48.022:48.020:09.289.9
2Amelia LewisThomas Walker · SRFinish 23:03.123:03.120:22.485.4
3Allie SalyerEastside · FRFinish 23:16.323:16.320:34.281.5
4Katie WilliamsEastside · JRFinish 25:34.725:34.722:36.540.7
5Hannah MaysEastside · SOFinish 25:48.725:48.722:48.836.6
6Hailey MaysEastside · SOFinish 26:02.726:02.723:01.232.5
7Leah HarveyJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 26:12.626:12.623:10.029.6
8Quila GreearTwin Springs · JRFinish 27:29.927:29.924:18.36.8
9Ava StoughJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 27:39.127:39.124:26.44.1
10Loxleigh HoodJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 27:39.227:39.224:26.54.1
11Anya MullinsJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 29:51.029:51.026:23.0—
12Molly RoseEastside · JRFinish 30:27.030:27.026:54.8—
13Adsila NdiayeEastside · JRFinish 30:43.630:43.627:09.4—
14Lindsey HarveyJ.I. Burton · FRFinish 31:52.831:52.828:10.6—
15Mary WoodEastside · SRFinish 33:09.833:09.829:18.7—
16Isabel SawyersEastside · SRFinish 36:37.936:37.932:22.7—
17Kaylee FunkEastside · SRFinish 38:24.938:24.933:57.2—
18Emily RobertsEastside · SRFinish 39:06.939:06.934:34.3—
19Haleigh ShortJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 40:22.240:22.235:40.9—
20Megyn DuffJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 40:23.040:23.035:41.6—

cumberland district championship 2025, Oct 22, 2025

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.