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Oct 30, 2024 · Fredericksburg, VA

Battlefield District Championship

Spotsylvania HS XC Course · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2025

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Battlefield District Championship Spotsylvania HS, Spotsylvania, VA - 10/30/2024 Girls Varsity 5K

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C

37 of 37 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −29.5 s course and conditions −4.2 s in-season fitness −25.4 sCourse constant 493.20 (493)Race constant 486.90 (487)

35 used anchors± 7.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 35 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 35, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Allison Nelson · Spotsylvania: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Sophie Sweet · James Monroe: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Juhi Pathak · Courtland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Callista Rash · King George: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Mary Ross · Spotsylvania: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Abigail Dunlap · Spotsylvania: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  7. 7 Ruth Louise Page · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Alice Weber · James Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Kylie Peters · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Georgia Russell · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  11. 11 Abigail Cruzan · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  12. 12 Anna Weiderhold · Spotsylvania: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Addison Wright · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Ilyana Rodriguez · Eastern View: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Aliviah Pappavasiliou · Eastern View: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Emily White · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Mackenzie Kelly · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  18. 18 Abigail Horne · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  19. 19 Ansley Wykle · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  20. 20 Emery Pirch · Spotsylvania: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Brynne Wykle · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  22. 22 Janaya Raynor · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  23. 23 Selah Altman · Eastern View: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  24. 24 Piper Lenon · Eastern View: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  25. 26 Kassidy Donelson · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  26. 27 Nina Torres · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  27. 28 Stella Hensley · James Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 14)
  28. 29 Kate Ramsey · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  29. 30 Reagan Halpin · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  30. 31 Brenna Fitzpatrick · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  31. 32 Nora Kuykendall · James Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  32. 33 Emily Corson · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  33. 34 Alondra Reyes · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  34. 35 Anna Bywaters-Baldwin · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  35. 36 Marley Medina · Caroline: Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 37 of 37 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Allison NelsonSpotsylvania · SRFinish 19:26.219:26.219:38.299.3
2Sophie SweetJames Monroe · SOFinish 20:00.020:00.020:12.387.9
3Juhi PathakCourtland · SRFinish 21:06.821:06.821:19.865.5
4Callista RashKing George · JRFinish 21:27.321:27.321:40.558.5
5Mary RossSpotsylvania · SOFinish 21:48.721:48.722:02.251.3
6Abigail DunlapSpotsylvania · FRFinish 22:04.722:04.722:18.346.0
7Ruth Louise PageKing George · JRFinish 22:22.422:22.422:36.240.0
8Alice WeberJames Monroe · SRFinish 22:30.422:30.422:44.337.3
9Kylie PetersKing George · SRFinish 22:58.222:58.223:12.427.9
10Georgia RussellKing George · FRFinish 23:05.423:05.423:19.725.5
11Abigail CruzanCulpeper County · SRFinish 23:10.423:10.423:24.723.8
12Anna WeiderholdSpotsylvania · SRFinish 23:15.323:15.323:29.722.2
13Addison WrightKing George · FRFinish 23:15.823:15.823:30.222.0
14Ilyana RodriguezEastern View · JRFinish 23:18.923:18.923:33.321.0
15Aliviah PappavasiliouEastern View · FRFinish 23:28.623:28.623:43.117.7
16Emily WhiteKing George · JRFinish 23:36.923:36.923:51.514.9
17Mackenzie KellyKing George · FRFinish 24:22.924:22.924:38.0—
18Abigail HorneCaroline · SOFinish 24:57.924:57.925:13.3—
19Ansley WykleCulpeper County · SRFinish 25:03.725:03.725:19.2—
20Emery PirchSpotsylvania · FRFinish 25:05.725:05.725:21.2—
21Brynne WykleCulpeper County · FRFinish 25:23.125:23.125:38.8—
22Janaya RaynorCourtland · JRFinish 25:23.525:23.525:39.2—
23Selah AltmanEastern View · JRFinish 25:25.325:25.325:41.0—
24Piper LenonEastern View · SOFinish 25:26.025:26.025:41.7—
25Anouk NollmeyerCulpeper County · JRFinish 25:52.725:52.726:08.7—
26Kassidy DonelsonCourtland · JRFinish 26:31.326:31.326:47.7—
27Nina TorresCaroline · SRFinish 26:38.026:38.026:54.4—
28Stella HensleyJames Monroe · SRFinish 26:53.226:53.227:09.8—
29Kate RamseyCulpeper County · JRFinish 27:33.427:33.427:50.4—
30Reagan HalpinCourtland · SRFinish 27:47.227:47.228:04.4—
31Brenna FitzpatrickCourtland · FRFinish 28:17.228:17.228:34.7—
32Nora KuykendallJames Monroe · SOFinish 28:35.128:35.128:52.7—
33Emily CorsonCaroline · SRFinish 28:49.428:49.429:07.2—
34Alondra ReyesCourtland · JRFinish 30:54.930:54.931:14.0—
35Anna Bywaters-BaldwinCulpeper County · FRFinish 31:42.231:42.232:01.8—
36Marley MedinaCaroline · FRFinish 33:10.133:10.133:30.6—
37Al Zahra SaadehEastern View · SOFinish 38:36.638:36.639:00.4—

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Boys Varsity 5K

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C

55 of 55 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −11.8 s course and conditions +12.0 s in-season fitness −23.8 sCourse constant 493.69 (494)Race constant 490.23 (490)

52 used anchors± 6.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 52 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 52, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Timithy Wingeart · King George: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Matthew Dudenhefer · Caroline: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Jayden Wallace · Spotsylvania: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Jeremiah Miller-Jackson · Spotsylvania: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28) · and 1 more
  5. 5 James Reece Snyder · James Monroe: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Luke Rossi · James Monroe: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Sam Crombie · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Mason Deluca · Eastern View: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Isaac Clarke · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Jackson Valasko · Spotsylvania: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Arren White · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  12. 12 Aidan Bair · Spotsylvania: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Phillip Lynn · James Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Emmet Hart · James Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Xander Bruere · Spotsylvania: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Xavier Gathers · James Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Liam Anderson · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  18. 18 Arthur Duke · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  19. 19 Jordan Somers · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  20. 20 Ethan Parker · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  21. 21 Dylan Hayner · Chancellor: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  22. 22 Bradley Martin · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Logan Bergin · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  24. 24 Adien Jackson · Eastern View: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  25. 25 Jacob Desnoyer · Spotsylvania: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  26. 26 Grant Griffiths · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Kevin Bautista · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  28. 28 Aden Turner · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  29. 29 Elijah Tritt · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  30. 30 Will Lunn · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  31. 31 Kaleb Inzana · King George: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  32. 32 Samuel Cox · Spotsylvania: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 7)
  33. 33 Logan Jones · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  34. 34 Mason Marchetti · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  35. 35 Ethan Deangelo · Courtland: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  36. 36 Carson Bergermann · Chancellor: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  37. 37 Leeland Reyes · Chancellor: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  38. 38 Caleb Hine · James Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  39. 39 Joshua Mcvey · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  40. 40 Jackson Wright · Chancellor: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  41. 42 Karston Kalenga · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  42. 43 Grayson Turner · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  43. 44 Joesph Campbell · Chancellor: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6)
  44. 45 Henry Dahart · Chancellor: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28)
  45. 46 Maddox Lane · Culpeper County: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  46. 47 Liam Morgan · Eastern View: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  47. 48 Lincoln Stuart · Eastern View: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  48. 49 Seth Iddins · Caroline: VHSL Region 4B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  49. 51 Joseph Lopez · James Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships (Nov 6) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 28) · and 1 more
  50. 53 Zach Demory · Eastern View: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 55 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Timithy WingeartKing George · SOFinish 16:53.116:53.116:49.1152.3
2Matthew DudenheferCaroline · SRFinish 17:03.617:03.616:59.6148.8
3Jayden WallaceSpotsylvania · JRFinish 17:13.717:13.717:09.7145.5
4Jeremiah Miller-JacksonSpotsylvania · SRFinish 17:39.417:39.417:35.3136.9
5James Reece SnyderJames Monroe · JRFinish 17:39.517:39.517:35.4136.9
6Luke RossiJames Monroe · JRFinish 17:46.217:46.217:42.0134.7
7Sam CrombieKing George · JRFinish 17:49.617:49.617:45.4133.6
8Mason DelucaEastern View · SRFinish 17:50.317:50.317:46.1133.3
9Isaac ClarkeKing George · SRFinish 18:09.418:09.418:05.1127.0
10Jackson ValaskoSpotsylvania · JRFinish 18:20.118:20.118:15.8123.4
11Arren WhiteCourtland · JRFinish 18:33.018:33.018:28.7119.1
12Aidan BairSpotsylvania · SRFinish 18:37.218:37.218:32.8117.7
13Phillip LynnJames Monroe · JRFinish 18:51.118:51.118:46.7113.1
14Emmet HartJames Monroe · JRFinish 18:51.218:51.218:46.8113.1
15Xander BruereSpotsylvania · SOFinish 18:54.418:54.418:50.0112.0
16Xavier GathersJames Monroe · SRFinish 19:00.619:00.618:56.1110.0
17Liam AndersonCourtland · FRFinish 19:04.019:04.018:59.5108.8
18Arthur DukeCaroline · SOFinish 19:10.719:10.719:06.2106.6
19Jordan SomersCaroline · SRFinish 19:13.219:13.219:08.7105.8
20Ethan ParkerKing George · SRFinish 19:13.519:13.519:09.0105.7
21Dylan HaynerChancellor · JRFinish 19:16.819:16.819:12.3104.6
22Bradley MartinCaroline · JRFinish 19:17.019:17.019:12.5104.5
23Logan BerginCourtland · SOFinish 19:19.719:19.719:15.2103.6
24Adien JacksonEastern View · SOFinish 19:20.119:20.119:15.6103.5
25Jacob DesnoyerSpotsylvania · JRFinish 19:23.219:23.219:18.7102.5
26Grant GriffithsKing George · SRFinish 19:28.819:28.819:24.2100.6
27Kevin BautistaCourtland · JRFinish 19:33.919:33.919:29.398.9
28Aden TurnerCulpeper County · SRFinish 19:41.319:41.319:36.796.5
29Elijah TrittKing George · SOFinish 19:50.019:50.019:45.493.6
30Will LunnCaroline · JRFinish 19:55.219:55.219:50.591.8
31Kaleb InzanaKing George · JRFinish 19:55.219:55.219:50.591.8
32Samuel CoxSpotsylvania · JRFinish 19:57.719:57.719:53.091.0
33Logan JonesCulpeper County · JRFinish 20:03.720:03.719:59.089.0
34Mason MarchettiCourtland · JRFinish 20:05.120:05.120:00.488.6
35Ethan DeangeloCourtland · SRFinish 20:12.120:12.120:07.486.2
36Carson BergermannChancellor · JRFinish 20:13.220:13.220:08.585.9
37Leeland ReyesChancellor · FRFinish 20:16.620:16.620:11.984.7
38Caleb HineJames Monroe · FRFinish 20:21.120:21.120:16.383.3
39Joshua McveyCaroline · FRFinish 20:26.620:26.620:21.881.4
40Jackson WrightChancellor · JRFinish 20:56.220:56.220:51.371.6
41Elizur SmithCourtland · FRFinish 20:58.120:58.120:53.271.0
42Karston KalengaCulpeper County · FRFinish 21:02.721:02.720:57.869.4
43Grayson TurnerCulpeper County · FRFinish 21:19.921:19.921:14.963.7
44Joesph CampbellChancellor · FRFinish 21:31.921:31.921:26.959.7
45Henry DahartChancellor · FRFinish 21:33.421:33.421:28.459.2
46Maddox LaneCulpeper County · SRFinish 21:42.221:42.221:37.156.3
47Liam MorganEastern View · FRFinish 21:46.921:46.921:41.854.8
48Lincoln StuartEastern View · SOFinish 22:00.722:00.721:55.550.2
49Seth IddinsCaroline · FRFinish 22:00.922:00.921:55.750.1
50Nathan LanghamCulpeper County · JRFinish 22:50.122:50.122:44.833.8
Show all 55 results (5 more)Showing all 55 results · hide rows 51–55
Boys results, rows 51 to 55 of 55
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Joseph LopezJames Monroe · SOFinish 23:02.823:02.822:57.429.6
52Davis CrosleyCulpeper County · FRFinish 23:10.723:10.723:05.326.9
53Zach DemoryEastern View · SRFinish 23:32.323:32.323:26.819.8
54Coby EmpsonEastern View · SRFinish 24:42.324:42.324:36.5—
55Jeremy JenkinsEastern View · SRFinish 27:47.527:47.527:41.0—

Battlefield District Championship, Oct 30, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.