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Oct 16, 2024 · Kissimmee, FL

Tohopekaliga XC Invitational @ Austin Tindall Park

Austin Tindall Park (Farm Course) · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Girls results are not shown: no girl at this meet rated above 100 (top 81.2), so its girls races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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D

86 of 86 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −25.8 s course and conditions −2.2 s in-season fitness −23.5 sCourse constant 489.07 (489)Race constant 485.60 (486)

22 used anchors± 17.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 22 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 22, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Jayden Santos-Gonzalez · Oak Ridge HS: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23)
  2. 5 Xavier Rivera Melendez · Gateway HS (Kissimmee): 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  3. 6 Leandro Torres Jojoa · Celebration: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  4. 12 Santiago Rodriguez · Gateway HS (Kissimmee): 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  5. 14 Langston Carry · Gateway HS (Kissimmee): 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  6. 15 Malechi Vongphrachanh · Celebration: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  7. 16 Nicholas Gordils · Gateway HS (Kissimmee): 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  8. 20 Caleb Snediker · Celebration: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  9. 21 Matias Edwards · Celebration: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  10. 22 Edward Forehand · Celebration: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  11. 23 Jason Bracero · Gateway HS (Kissimmee): 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  12. 25 Treyce Cleveland · Edgewater HS: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  13. 26 Anderson Olea · Gateway HS (Kissimmee): 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  14. 27 Giancarlo Vecchio · Edgewater HS: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  15. 28 Jean Jessurum · Gateway HS (Kissimmee): 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  16. 35 Jayden Cancel · Edgewater HS: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  17. 36 Sayon Watts · Edgewater HS: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  18. 37 Ethan Walls · Harmony: New Balance RunningLane XC Championships (Dec 7)
  19. 53 Nicholas Brown · Edgewater HS: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  20. 63 Ethan Morrison · Celebration: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  21. 69 Juan Eganez · Celebration: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
  22. 71 Dariel Fernandez · Celebration: 25th FLRUNNERS.COM INVITATIONAL (Oct 4)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 86 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Jayden Santos-GonzalezOak Ridge HS · SRFinish 15:46.315:46.315:53.8170.7
2William HernandezLake Nona HS · SRFinish 16:36.816:36.816:44.7153.8
3Gabriel LozanoLake Nona HS · JRFinish 16:42.216:42.216:50.2152.0
4Matthew RutanLake Nona HS · JRFinish 16:58.416:58.417:06.5146.5
5Xavier Rivera MelendezGateway HS (Kissimmee) · SRFinish 17:02.317:02.317:10.4145.2
6Leandro Torres JojoaCelebration · SOFinish 17:15.017:15.017:23.2141.0
7Michael LiguoriThe Geneva School · JRFinish 17:24.517:24.517:32.8137.8
8Riley RamirezHarmony · SOFinish 17:40.017:40.017:48.4132.6
9Nathan DiltsLake Nona HS · JRFinish 17:44.217:44.217:52.7131.1
10Cameron FordTohopekaliga High School · JRFinish 17:45.117:45.117:53.5130.9
11Taha AbdiWindermere Prep · JRFinish 17:57.417:57.418:05.9126.7
12Santiago RodriguezGateway HS (Kissimmee) · SRFinish 17:58.117:58.118:06.7126.5
13Jayden VialaEast River HS · SOFinish 18:07.318:07.318:15.9123.4
14Langston CarryGateway HS (Kissimmee) · FRFinish 18:13.518:13.518:22.2121.3
15Malechi VongphrachanhCelebration · SOFinish 18:19.618:19.618:28.3119.3
16Nicholas GordilsGateway HS (Kissimmee) · FRFinish 18:29.418:29.418:38.2116.0
17Cory ClaytonTimber Creek HS · SRFinish 18:31.418:31.418:40.2115.3
18Ethan PetermanTimber Creek HS · FRFinish 18:32.518:32.518:41.3114.9
19Rafael Stresser RibeiroWindermere Prep · SRFinish 18:32.718:32.718:41.5114.9
20Caleb SnedikerCelebration · SOFinish 18:33.218:33.218:42.0114.7
21Matias EdwardsCelebration · SRFinish 18:33.618:33.618:42.4114.6
22Edward ForehandCelebration · JRFinish 18:40.018:40.018:48.8112.4
23Jason BraceroGateway HS (Kissimmee) · SRFinish 18:41.218:41.218:50.1112.0
24Messiah VillasenorHarmony · JRFinish 18:42.518:42.518:51.4111.6
25Treyce ClevelandEdgewater HS · JRFinish 18:51.318:51.319:00.3108.6
26Anderson OleaGateway HS (Kissimmee) · JRFinish 18:52.818:52.819:01.8108.1
27Giancarlo VecchioEdgewater HS · SRFinish 18:55.018:55.019:04.0107.4
28Jean JessurumGateway HS (Kissimmee) · SOFinish 18:55.818:55.819:04.8107.1
29Ethan Jovet-OcasioTohopekaliga High School · FRFinish 19:01.619:01.619:10.6105.2
30Johnathan CosmoHarmony · SOFinish 19:09.019:09.019:18.1102.7
31Jeremy DelgadoTohopekaliga High School · SRFinish 19:10.019:10.019:19.2102.3
32Tyler BichanichEdgewater HS · SRFinish 19:15.219:15.219:24.4100.6
33Zakariah FulmoreTohopekaliga High School · SRFinish 19:16.219:16.219:25.4100.2
34Connor PhilbrickEdgewater HS · SRFinish 19:17.419:17.419:26.699.8
35Jayden CancelEdgewater HS · SOFinish 19:17.519:17.519:26.799.8
36Sayon WattsEdgewater HS · JRFinish 19:18.419:18.419:27.699.5
37Ethan WallsHarmony · JRFinish 19:19.019:19.019:28.199.3
38Jyrehn SalesTohopekaliga High School · SRFinish 19:19.319:19.319:28.499.2
39Jack WilsonLake Nona HS · JRFinish 19:19.519:19.519:28.799.1
40Byron BursonHarmony · JRFinish 19:25.819:25.819:35.097.0
41Ethan OrtizOsceola HS (Kissimmee) · SRFinish 19:26.919:26.919:36.196.6
42Lucas LuttigOsceola HS (Kissimmee) · SOFinish 19:27.419:27.419:36.796.5
43Angel GonzalezEast River HS · JRFinish 19:29.619:29.619:38.895.7
44Matthew EiflerEast River HS · SRFinish 19:30.419:30.419:39.795.5
45Emmett BuffingtonThe Geneva School · 8Finish 19:38.419:38.419:47.792.8
46William FaithThe Geneva School · 8Finish 19:41.619:41.619:50.991.7
47James HapplTohopekaliga High School · JRFinish 19:46.319:46.319:55.790.1
48Cody HolmesTimber Creek HS · SOFinish 19:46.419:46.419:55.890.1
49Adiel BordoyHarmony · FRFinish 19:47.919:47.919:57.389.6
50Jacob ZamorGateway HS (Kissimmee) · SOFinish 19:47.919:47.919:57.389.6
Show all 86 results (36 more)Showing all 86 results · hide rows 51–86
Boys results, rows 51 to 86 of 86
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Jacob HerreraTimber Creek HS · JRFinish 19:48.919:48.919:58.389.3
52Ethan MeierTimber Creek HS · SRFinish 19:49.319:49.319:58.789.1
53Nicholas BrownEdgewater HS · JRFinish 19:50.119:50.119:59.588.9
54Matthew GreweWindermere Prep · SOFinish 20:06.420:06.420:16.083.4
55Javier PentojaLake Nona HS · SOFinish 20:07.120:07.120:16.783.1
56Samuel GonzalezLake Nona HS · SOFinish 20:09.020:09.020:18.582.5
57Elijah CentenoTimber Creek HS · JRFinish 20:12.320:12.320:21.981.4
58Michael SaucedoTimber Creek HS · JRFinish 20:12.720:12.720:22.381.2
59Elijah TavarezTimber Creek HS · SOFinish 20:13.020:13.020:22.681.2
60Elijah PelaezLake Nona HS · SOFinish 20:33.620:33.620:43.374.2
61Colby DemeulenaereHarmony · SOFinish 20:34.420:34.420:44.274.0
62Vuong VuEast River HS · SRFinish 20:40.820:40.820:50.671.8
63Ethan MorrisonCelebration · JRFinish 20:46.420:46.420:56.369.9
64Catcher CunninghamThe Geneva School · SOFinish 20:48.520:48.520:58.469.2
65Ethan SingWindermere Prep · SOFinish 20:54.620:54.621:04.567.2
66Wisdom DorillasOsceola HS (Kissimmee) · JRFinish 20:57.720:57.721:07.666.1
67Joey HowellOsceola HS (Kissimmee) · SRFinish 21:03.521:03.521:13.564.2
68Nathan JamesEdgewater HS · SRFinish 21:06.221:06.221:16.263.3
69Juan EganezCelebration · SRFinish 21:12.021:12.021:22.061.3
70Logan LiebermanWindermere Prep · 6Finish 21:16.621:16.621:26.759.8
71Dariel FernandezCelebration · FRFinish 21:16.821:16.821:26.959.7
72Daniel HelfenstensThe Geneva School · SOFinish 21:20.521:20.521:30.658.5
73Robert TolliverEast River HS · SRFinish 21:22.021:22.021:32.258.0
74Luke WhippleThe Geneva School · FRFinish 21:30.421:30.421:40.655.2
75Julian CashEast River HS · SRFinish 21:37.921:37.921:48.252.6
76Nicolas VaronWindermere Prep · 8Finish 21:43.121:43.121:53.450.9
77Ilan CharriezOsceola HS (Kissimmee) · SRFinish 21:52.221:52.222:02.647.8
78Marcus PayneOsceola HS (Kissimmee) · SRFinish 22:00.622:00.622:11.045.0
79Rylee EncarnacionEast River HS · SOFinish 22:13.822:13.822:24.440.6
80Samuel MedinaHarmony · JRFinish 22:47.322:47.322:58.229.3
81Alex SalamonWindermere Prep · JRFinish 24:13.924:13.924:25.40.2
82Brandon DiazOsceola HS (Kissimmee) · SOFinish 24:28.324:28.324:39.9—
83Mustafa AhmedWindermere Prep · JRFinish 24:50.424:50.425:02.2—
84Caleb ReidThe Geneva School · JRFinish 26:06.726:06.726:19.1—
85Oliver CunninghamThe Geneva School · FRFinish 26:39.626:39.626:52.2—
86Jamir BrownOsceola HS (Kissimmee) · SOFinish 27:41.727:41.727:54.9—

BOYS · JV · 5,000 M

Tiger XC Invitational - 10/16/2024 Austin Tindall Park Last Completed Event Event 5 Boys 5k Run CC JV

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E

85 of 85 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −19.1 s course and conditions +4.6 s in-season fitness −23.7 sCourse constant 491.50 (492)Race constant 487.70 (488)

Unavailable used anchors± 26.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 85 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Jonathan HallOak Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 18:45.618:45.618:48.0112.7
2Owen KeithTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 19:03.819:03.819:06.3106.6
3Mike ElizeOak Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 20:07.920:07.920:10.685.2
4Jenel Jean FrancoisOak Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 20:09.720:09.720:12.484.6
5Kyle GutierrezTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 20:12.420:12.420:15.083.7
6Valentino DuranCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 20:21.720:21.720:24.480.6
7Khamon CaldwellOcoee · Grade not recordedFinish 20:21.720:21.720:24.480.6
8David GodenGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:22.120:22.120:24.880.4
9Noe CuarentaTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 20:23.520:23.520:26.280.0
10Daniel Cruz PagonTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 20:30.220:30.220:32.977.7
11Einar IglesiasGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:33.520:33.520:36.276.6
12Brady AlmeidaCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 20:34.520:34.520:37.376.3
13Andres AlmonteGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:42.720:42.720:45.573.5
14Neill FernandesOcoee · Grade not recordedFinish 20:44.420:44.420:47.173.0
15Kyle WaddellTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 20:45.220:45.220:48.072.7
16Andrew ThouTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 20:46.020:46.020:48.772.4
17Lucian ThomasNew Dimensions · Grade not recordedFinish 20:48.220:48.220:50.971.7
18Abdiel AliceaCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 20:50.720:50.720:53.570.9
19Gianni MestriGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:52.320:52.320:55.170.3
20Xavier PeniaGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:56.320:56.320:59.069.0
21Halo SerranoGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:57.420:57.421:00.268.6
22Titus HolmesTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 20:57.920:57.921:00.768.5
23Jackson McAfeeTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 20:59.120:59.121:01.968.1
24Gavin PetermanTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 21:02.921:02.921:05.766.8
25Ethan AntleGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 21:03.221:03.221:06.066.7
26Thomas RuizTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 21:03.521:03.521:06.366.6
27Keiandre CollinsOak Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 21:20.021:20.021:22.861.1
28Christian BetemitEast River · Grade not recordedFinish 21:24.921:24.921:27.859.4
29Juanjose BonifazTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 21:30.521:30.521:33.357.6
30Alexander GonzalezLake Nona · Grade not recordedFinish 21:41.521:41.521:44.453.9
31Jangel MedinaGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 21:43.621:43.621:46.553.2
32Mason MattucciEdgewater · Grade not recordedFinish 21:44.621:44.621:47.552.9
33Jacob HapplTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 21:46.321:46.321:49.252.3
34Carmello ClarkeOcoee · Grade not recordedFinish 21:50.221:50.221:53.151.0
35Yael NatarenTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 21:51.221:51.221:54.150.7
36Eli GuererroTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 21:54.821:54.821:57.749.5
37Colin FoxCelebration · Grade not recordedFinish 21:56.921:56.921:59.848.7
38Shomari JonesEast River · Grade not recordedFinish 22:06.822:06.822:09.845.4
39Dominic BriggsGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 22:13.122:13.122:16.143.3
40Benjamin AdisLake Nona · Grade not recordedFinish 22:17.722:17.722:20.741.8
41Mark Dela CruzGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 22:21.122:21.122:24.140.7
42Theodore DonaghueCelebration · Grade not recordedFinish 22:23.622:23.622:26.639.8
43Cole FordEdgewater · Grade not recordedFinish 22:25.122:25.122:28.139.3
44Shawn WilkersonEdgewater · Grade not recordedFinish 22:29.322:29.322:32.337.9
45Crystopher ArriazaGateway (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 22:43.322:43.322:46.333.3
46Taylor St. HilaireCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 22:44.322:44.322:47.332.9
47Christian TalaveraOak Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 22:44.422:44.422:47.432.9
48Andrew MumbleauTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 22:44.722:44.722:47.732.8
49Daniel GonzalezCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 23:07.123:07.123:10.225.3
50Jaden AyureLake Nona · Grade not recordedFinish 23:23.023:23.023:26.120.0
Show all 85 results (35 more)Showing all 85 results · hide rows 51–85
Boys results, rows 51 to 85 of 85
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Mathew LewisCelebration · Grade not recordedFinish 23:26.423:26.423:29.618.8
52Gregory StambaughLiberty (Bealeton) · Grade not recordedFinish 23:41.323:41.323:44.413.9
53Gavin McConnellEdgewater · Grade not recordedFinish 23:58.923:58.924:02.18.0
54Rontavius NewmanOcoee · Grade not recordedFinish 23:59.323:59.324:02.57.8
55Connor DunnEdgewater · Grade not recordedFinish 24:00.224:00.224:03.37.6
56Chase WittmanEast River · Grade not recordedFinish 24:06.424:06.424:09.65.5
57Javi AldanaTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 24:10.624:10.624:13.84.1
58Shemar HarringtonCornerstone Academy · Grade not recordedFinish 24:17.024:17.024:20.31.9
59Keegan DramerHarmony · Grade not recordedFinish 24:27.124:27.124:30.4—
60Antonio Reyes FernandezCelebration · Grade not recordedFinish 24:37.224:37.224:40.5—
61Gabriel Mata RamirezCelebration · Grade not recordedFinish 24:45.124:45.124:48.4—
62Joshua FloresTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 24:51.124:51.124:54.4—
63Jeziah CastilloTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 25:04.425:04.425:07.7—
64Timothy LeeTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 25:25.925:25.925:29.2—
65Sebastian CrabtreeNew Dimensions · Grade not recordedFinish 25:48.725:48.725:52.1—
66Jackson AlmeidaCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 25:55.025:55.025:58.5—
67Greyson ImbriacoTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 26:03.926:03.926:07.3—
68Kaleb ColonEast River · Grade not recordedFinish 26:04.826:04.826:08.2—
69Theodore ByrnesTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 26:05.926:05.926:09.3—
70John RachkoTimber Creek · Grade not recordedFinish 26:19.026:19.026:22.5—
71Lamarcus BrownOsceola (Kissimmee) · Grade not recordedFinish 26:35.626:35.626:39.2—
72Chase MatarazzoCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 26:46.926:46.926:50.5—
73Lucas LimaCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 26:54.026:54.026:57.6—
74Daniel NegronNew Dimensions · Grade not recordedFinish 27:17.527:17.527:21.2—
75Andres UrdanetaNew Dimensions · Grade not recordedFinish 27:46.727:46.727:50.4—
76Connor BachanTohopekaliga · Grade not recordedFinish 28:11.028:11.028:14.8—
77Maximilian DileonardoEdgewater · Grade not recordedFinish 28:46.928:46.928:50.7—
78Daniel Vizcarrondo AponteNew Dimensions · Grade not recordedFinish 28:47.328:47.328:51.1—
79Jason MoreyNew Dimensions · Grade not recordedFinish 29:15.629:15.629:19.5—
80Christian EspinoCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 30:20.130:20.130:24.1—
81Adrian JimenezCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 30:21.430:21.430:25.5—
82Romel RobinsonNew Dimensions · Grade not recordedFinish 31:40.231:40.231:44.4—
83Maddux SpencerCelebration · Grade not recordedFinish 31:40.531:40.531:44.8—
84Edgardo AcevedoCity of Life · Grade not recordedFinish 32:13.332:13.332:17.6—
85Marcus HernandezHarmony · Grade not recordedFinish 33:45.233:45.233:49.7—

Tohopekaliga XC Invitational @ Austin Tindall Park, Oct 16, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.