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Nov 5, 2022 · Chesapeake, VA

VHSL Class 5A Region Cross Country Championship 2022

Bells Mill Park · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2025 · 2024 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Boys 5000 Meter Run

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C

59 of 59 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −23.0 s course and conditions −0.4 s in-season fitness −22.6 sCourse constant 491.68 (492)Race constant 487.78 (488)

43 used anchors± 7.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 43 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 43, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Armaan Chopra · Princess Anne: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  2. 2 William Griesmer · Princess Anne: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Nick Russo · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Rex Lemmon · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  5. 5 Owen Comeyne · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Cekari Bernat · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Mason Holland · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Braden Cruz · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  9. 9 Ben Curulla · First Colonial: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  10. 10 Peter Lee · Virginia: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  11. 11 Cole Whitaker · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Kyler Reynolds · Tallwood: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  13. 13 Logan Lovelace · Tallwood: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
  14. 14 Jordan Morris · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Rhys Martinsen · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  16. 16 Tyler Trago · Hickory: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  17. 17 Daniel Rockey · Princess Anne: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  18. 19 Ethan Vannostrand · Princess Anne: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  19. 20 Kaden Kahrl · Hickory: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  20. 21 Maurion Hill · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  21. 22 Benjamin Sadler · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  22. 23 Lucas Vannostrand · Princess Anne: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  23. 24 Robert Evans · Hickory: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  24. 25 Quinn Hendricks · Princess Anne: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  25. 26 Gavin Gerling · Kempsville: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  26. 27 Victor Pham · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  27. 28 Jonathan Baum · Hickory: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  28. 29 Larry Elfelt · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  29. 30 Marcos McKone-Sweet · Hickory: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  30. 32 Eric Schmitt · First Colonial: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  31. 33 Andy Jakubowski · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  32. 34 Owen Newman · First Colonial: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  33. 35 Samuel Boggs · Kempsville: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  34. 36 John Phillips · Princess Anne: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 10)
  35. 37 Sean Spearman · Kempsville: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  36. 41 Hayden Gray · Hickory: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  37. 42 Raphael Joseph · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  38. 43 Randy Wood · Tallwood: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
  39. 44 Thomas Renn · Tallwood: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
  40. 45 Micheael Wojciechowski · First Colonial: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  41. 46 Bryce McBride · Kempsville: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  42. 51 Joshua Hyams · Tallwood: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
  43. 53 James Tucker · Tallwood: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 59 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Armaan ChopraPrincess Anne · JRFinish 16:06.816:06.816:12.2165.9
2William GriesmerPrincess Anne · SRFinish 16:12.216:12.216:17.6164.1
3Nick RussoBayside · SOFinish 16:58.416:58.417:04.1148.6
4Rex LemmonFrank Cox · JRFinish 17:12.017:12.017:17.7144.1
5Owen ComeyneFrank Cox · SRFinish 17:18.717:18.717:24.5141.8
6Cekari BernatBayside · SRFinish 17:19.717:19.717:25.5141.5
7Mason HollandFrank Cox · SOFinish 17:25.217:25.217:31.0139.6
8Braden CruzFrank Cox · JRFinish 17:36.717:36.717:42.5135.8
9Ben CurullaFirst Colonial · JRFinish 17:48.817:48.817:54.7131.7
10Peter LeeVirginia · SRFinish 17:52.217:52.217:58.2130.6
11Cole WhitakerHickory · SRFinish 18:03.018:03.018:09.0127.0
12Kyler ReynoldsTallwood · JRFinish 18:04.618:04.618:10.6126.4
13Logan LovelaceTallwood · SRFinish 18:06.318:06.318:12.4125.9
14Jordan MorrisBayside · SOFinish 18:29.718:29.718:35.9118.0
15Rhys MartinsenFrank Cox · JRFinish 18:32.218:32.218:38.4117.2
16Tyler TragoHickory · FRFinish 18:33.918:33.918:40.1116.6
17Daniel RockeyPrincess Anne · SOFinish 18:36.418:36.418:42.6115.8
18Michael KelleyVirginia · SRFinish 18:40.818:40.818:47.0114.3
19Ethan VannostrandPrincess Anne · SOFinish 18:43.718:43.718:50.0113.3
20Kaden KahrlHickory · SRFinish 18:44.218:44.218:50.4113.2
21Maurion HillBayside · JRFinish 18:46.218:46.218:52.5112.5
22Benjamin SadlerBayside · FRFinish 18:50.518:50.518:56.8111.1
23Lucas VannostrandPrincess Anne · JRFinish 18:53.618:53.618:59.9110.0
24Robert EvansHickory · FRFinish 19:00.119:00.119:06.4107.8
25Quinn HendricksPrincess Anne · SOFinish 19:08.019:08.019:14.3105.2
26Gavin GerlingKempsville · SOFinish 19:09.019:09.019:15.3104.9
27Victor PhamFrank Cox · SRFinish 19:17.619:17.619:24.0102.0
28Jonathan BaumHickory · FRFinish 19:20.219:20.219:26.7101.1
29Larry ElfeltFrank Cox · SRFinish 19:36.919:36.919:43.495.5
30Marcos McKone-SweetHickory · SOFinish 19:43.519:43.519:50.093.3
31Isaiah HyltonIndian River · JRFinish 19:59.719:59.720:06.487.8
32Eric SchmittFirst Colonial · JRFinish 20:03.220:03.220:09.986.7
33Andy JakubowskiBayside · SOFinish 20:12.820:12.820:19.583.5
34Owen NewmanFirst Colonial · JRFinish 20:13.220:13.220:19.983.3
35Samuel BoggsKempsville · FRFinish 20:18.020:18.020:24.881.7
36John PhillipsPrincess Anne · FRFinish 20:21.820:21.820:28.680.4
37Sean SpearmanKempsville · SOFinish 20:22.420:22.420:29.280.2
38Sawyer RobertsFirst Colonial · FRFinish 20:30.420:30.420:37.277.6
39Logan RodriguezIndian River · SOFinish 20:31.520:31.520:38.377.2
40Alex PetersenTallwood · SOFinish 20:43.720:43.720:50.673.1
41Hayden GrayHickory · SRFinish 20:46.420:46.420:53.372.2
42Raphael JosephBayside · SRFinish 20:47.320:47.320:54.271.9
43Randy WoodTallwood · FRFinish 20:47.720:47.720:54.671.8
44Thomas RennTallwood · SOFinish 20:52.320:52.320:59.270.2
45Micheael WojciechowskiFirst Colonial · FRFinish 21:09.021:09.021:16.164.6
46Bryce McBrideKempsville · SRFinish 21:36.121:36.121:43.255.6
47Aiden ThurmanVirginia · FRFinish 21:39.021:39.021:46.254.6
48Luke RagleKempsville · SOFinish 21:49.821:49.821:57.150.9
49Hunter RubanoVirginia · SRFinish 21:54.221:54.222:01.549.5
50Joshua DavenportIndian River · JRFinish 22:13.822:13.822:21.242.9
Show all 59 results (9 more)Showing all 59 results · hide rows 51–59
Boys results, rows 51 to 59 of 59
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Joshua HyamsTallwood · SOFinish 22:16.022:16.022:23.542.2
52Devin RomeroVirginia · SRFinish 22:36.922:36.922:44.435.2
53James TuckerTallwood · SOFinish 22:50.722:50.722:58.330.5
54Niko PhelpsIndian River · SRFinish 23:05.123:05.123:12.825.7
55Zacchaeus DardenIndian River · FRFinish 23:45.023:45.023:52.912.3
56Jonah CinnamondKempsville · SRFinish 24:46.524:46.524:54.7—
57Tyrique HammittKempsville · JRFinish 24:51.924:51.925:00.2—
58Hector NavarezVirginia · FRFinish 26:57.226:57.227:06.2—
59Charles BagleyVirginia · SRFinish 27:06.827:06.827:15.8—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

56 of 56 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +13.7 s course and conditions +37.9 s in-season fitness −24.1 sCourse constant 508.19 (508)Race constant 505.21 (505)

41 used anchors± 8.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 41 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 41, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Emme Malooly · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Camille Johnson · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  3. 3 Salya Brown · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Chloe Mohr · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  5. 5 MacKenzie Long · First Colonial: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  6. 6 Ysabel Wells · Princess Anne: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Kate Michaelson · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Sophia Olszak · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Kayleigh Carnazza · Bayside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Annie Busch · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Gabriela Almodovar-Saunders · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Mckenzie Taylor · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Yeardley Pearson · First Colonial: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  14. 14 Malia Koprowski · First Colonial: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  15. 15 Morgan Kimener · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Desirae Caplinger · First Colonial: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  17. 17 Alexandra Burris · Princess Anne: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  18. 18 Adriana DeGuzman · Tallwood: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
  19. 19 Madi Guilfoy · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  20. 20 Durant Parker-Ashe · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  21. 21 Marta Gonzalez · Princess Anne: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 10)
  22. 22 Johanna Uhl · Princess Anne: Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 10)
  23. 23 Izzy Perry · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  24. 24 Savannah Holton · Bayside: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  25. 25 Paige Tillery · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Julie Beal · Bayside: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  27. 28 Meredith Hill · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  28. 29 Zoey Hulatt · Tallwood: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
  29. 30 Kathryn Murray · First Colonial: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  30. 31 Caitlin Cagni · Tallwood: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
  31. 32 Isabella Norell · Kempsville: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  32. 33 Brooke Bishop · Kempsville: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  33. 36 Caroline Haen · Princess Anne: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 10)
  34. 39 Ava Norton · Tallwood: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
  35. 42 Ashley Miller · Bayside: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  36. 43 Emmi Zapata · Kempsville: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  37. 45 Ava Hartman · First Colonial: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  38. 46 Beverly Zapata · Bayside: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  39. 48 Casey Fish · Kempsville: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  40. 50 Maria Barnes · Princess Anne: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 10)
  41. 54 Isabella Alcaraz-Hanson · Tallwood: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 8)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 56 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Emme MaloolyHickory · JRFinish 20:02.520:02.519:31.6101.9
2Camille JohnsonHickory · SRFinish 20:44.420:44.420:12.488.3
3Salya BrownFrank Cox · SRFinish 20:59.220:59.220:26.883.5
4Chloe MohrHickory · SOFinish 21:02.421:02.420:29.982.5
5MacKenzie LongFirst Colonial · SRFinish 21:02.921:02.920:30.482.3
6Ysabel WellsPrincess Anne · SOFinish 21:08.421:08.420:35.780.6
7Kate MichaelsonHickory · JRFinish 21:20.221:20.220:47.276.7
8Sophia OlszakBayside · SOFinish 21:25.521:25.520:52.475.0
9Kayleigh CarnazzaBayside · SOFinish 21:52.021:52.021:18.366.4
10Annie BuschFrank Cox · SRFinish 22:02.022:02.021:28.063.1
11Gabriela Almodovar-SaundersHickory · SOFinish 22:05.022:05.021:30.962.2
12Mckenzie TaylorFrank Cox · SRFinish 22:08.622:08.621:34.461.0
13Yeardley PearsonFirst Colonial · JRFinish 22:16.322:16.321:41.958.5
14Malia KoprowskiFirst Colonial · JRFinish 22:27.222:27.221:52.654.9
15Morgan KimenerHickory · FRFinish 22:42.222:42.222:07.150.1
16Desirae CaplingerFirst Colonial · JRFinish 23:11.823:11.822:35.940.5
17Alexandra BurrisPrincess Anne · FRFinish 23:30.923:30.922:54.534.3
18Adriana DeGuzmanTallwood · SOFinish 23:35.623:35.622:59.132.8
19Madi GuilfoyHickory · JRFinish 23:40.123:40.123:03.531.3
20Durant Parker-AsheFrank Cox · SRFinish 23:45.223:45.223:08.529.6
21Marta GonzalezPrincess Anne · SOFinish 23:55.623:55.623:18.726.2
22Johanna UhlPrincess Anne · SRFinish 23:58.423:58.423:21.325.4
23Izzy PerryFrank Cox · FRFinish 23:59.423:59.423:22.425.0
24Savannah HoltonBayside · JRFinish 24:00.524:00.523:23.424.7
25Paige TilleryFrank Cox · FRFinish 24:15.624:15.623:38.119.8
26Julie BealBayside · JRFinish 24:25.424:25.423:47.716.6
27Adyson JordanVirginia · FRFinish 24:31.124:31.123:53.214.7
28Meredith HillFrank Cox · SOFinish 24:34.924:34.923:57.013.5
29Zoey HulattTallwood · FRFinish 24:56.024:56.024:17.56.6
30Kathryn MurrayFirst Colonial · SRFinish 24:58.824:58.824:20.35.7
31Caitlin CagniTallwood · SOFinish 25:00.325:00.324:21.75.2
32Isabella NorellKempsville · FRFinish 25:16.625:16.624:37.6—
33Brooke BishopKempsville · SOFinish 25:21.225:21.224:42.0—
34Maggie MeechanVirginia · SOFinish 25:21.925:21.924:42.7—
35Isabella ButlerTallwood · JRFinish 25:24.125:24.124:44.9—
36Caroline HaenPrincess Anne · FRFinish 25:37.025:37.024:57.4—
37Sophia PhanVirginia · SRFinish 25:41.225:41.225:01.5—
38Megan BishopVirginia · SOFinish 25:44.725:44.725:05.0—
39Ava NortonTallwood · FRFinish 25:46.125:46.125:06.3—
40Seren SimmonsVirginia · FRFinish 25:48.325:48.325:08.4—
41Meg GarrettKempsville · SRFinish 25:50.825:50.825:10.9—
42Ashley MillerBayside · SOFinish 26:06.726:06.725:26.4—
43Emmi ZapataKempsville · FRFinish 26:50.426:50.426:08.9—
44Chloe BoothKempsville · JRFinish 27:15.727:15.726:33.6—
45Ava HartmanFirst Colonial · JRFinish 27:39.827:39.826:57.0—
46Beverly ZapataBayside · SOFinish 27:45.827:45.827:02.9—
47Makaila MasonIndian River · SOFinish 29:11.429:11.428:26.3—
48Casey FishKempsville · FRFinish 29:21.329:21.328:36.0—
49Julia MorrisonBayside · FRFinish 29:41.329:41.328:55.5—
50Maria BarnesPrincess Anne · JRFinish 30:19.630:19.629:32.8—
Show all 56 results (6 more)Showing all 56 results · hide rows 51–56
Girls results, rows 51 to 56 of 56
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Anna RufhVirginia · SOFinish 30:31.530:31.529:44.4—
52Gianna ReedIndian River · SOFinish 32:42.832:42.831:52.3—
53Paige RatcliffIndian River · SOFinish 33:11.933:11.932:20.6—
54Isabella Alcaraz-HansonTallwood · SOFinish 33:49.933:49.932:57.6—
55Aaliyah SheppardIndian River · SRFinish 35:32.235:32.234:37.3—
56Maddie CainKempsville · SOFinish 36:07.336:07.335:11.5—

VHSL Class 5A Region Cross Country Championship 2022, Nov 5, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.